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Avalanche (AVAX) Price Finally Conquers 455-Day Resistance – Is the Tide Turning?

2 mins
Updated by Ryan James
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In Brief

  • The Avalanche (AVAX) price reached a new yearly high of $24.69 on November 17 but has fallen slightly since.
  • While the weekly timeframe readings are bullish, the daily timeframe RSI and price action are both bearish.
  • Despite the bearish AVAX price prediction, a close above the $21.50 resistance will mean the trend is bullish.
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The Avalanche (AVAX) price broke out from a 455-day descending resistance trend line two weeks ago.

Despite the long-term breakout, the price failed to sustain its upward movement above a critical horizontal resistance area.

AVAX Breaks out From 455-Day Resistance

The weekly timeframe technical analysis shows that the AVAX price has fallen under a descending resistance trend line since August 2022. The trendline led to a low of $8.60.

During the decrease, AVAX seemingly broke down from a long-term horizontal support area in place since the start of 2021.

However, the ensuing increase caused a reclaim of this area, rendering the previous drop as only a deviation.

Two weeks ago, the AVAX price broke out from the descending resistance trend line, which had been in place for 455 days.

Avalanche Price Movement
AVAX/USDT Weekly Chart. Source: TradingView

Market traders use the RSI as a momentum indicator to identify overbought or oversold conditions and to decide whether to accumulate or sell an asset.

Readings above 50 and an upward trend indicate that bulls still have an advantage, whereas readings below 50 suggest the opposite.

The RSI is above 50 and increasing – both positive signs.

What Are Analysts Saying?

Cryptocurrency traders and analysts on X are bearish in the short-term AVAX price forecast. 

AltcoinSherpa tweeted a chart that shows a short-term decrease since the price has deviated above the range high.

AVAX Price Movement
AVAX/USDT Daily Chart. Source: X

iWantCoinNews said that he is expecting a pullback since the price trades at a long-term resistance. 

Expecting a pullback. Higher timeframe point of interest reached (1w -fvg). Daily timeframe reveals a bearish divergence on the RSI strengthening the idea price reverses.

AVAX Price Prediction: Retracement Before Breakout? 

The daily timeframe technical analysis gives a bearish AVAX price reading in the short term. This is because of the price action and the RSI. 

The daily RSI has generated a bearish divergence (green). This occurs when a momentum decrease accompanies a price increase. It often leads to downward movements. 

The price action shows a deviation above the $21.50 horizontal resistance area (red circle). These deviations are often followed by significant downward movements. 

If that occurs, the AVAX price can fall by 30% to the 0.618 Fib retracement support level at $14.80. 

AVAX Price Prediction
AVAX/USDT Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

Despite this bearish AVAX price prediction, a close above the $21.50 resistance area can lead to a 50% increase to the next closest resistance at $30.

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In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst. (I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)