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Dow’s 3-Year Winning Run Isn’t a Crash Signal, Still 49% Odds of Double-Digit Gains
- Mark Hulbert says the Dow's 3-year streak has no bearing on this year's odds.
- The Dow's baseline chance of a double-digit gain has held near 49% since the late 1890s.
- Harvard-linked crash odds sit below their five-year average despite the streak.
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The Web’s Missing Payment Primitive Didn’t Need Better Tech, It Needed to Ditch Humans
- Micropayments died since the 1990s on cognition, not technology.
- x402 removes the human, not the friction, from the decision.
- Average x402 payment is 32 cents, not a fraction of a cent.
Peter Schiff Links 1971 Gold Decision to Today’s Dollar Crisis: Will XAU Hit $5,000?
- Peter Schiff blames today's dollar weakness on Nixon's 1971 exit from gold.
- A 1971 dollar now buys about 12 cents of goods, federal data shows.
- Central banks bought 289 tonnes of gold last quarter, up 62% yearly.
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How Much SpaceX Stock Elon Musk Really Owns, and When Can He Sell?
- Elon Musk's filing says 48.4%. What he owns outright today is closer to 36%.
- 1.3 billion of those shares need a Mars colony and off-Earth data centers.
- SpaceX values both awards at zero because its own board calls them improbable.
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AI Debt Lifts 30-Year Treasury Yield to 2007 Highs: Can Bitcoin Compete?
- Big Tech sold $192 billion of bonds by late July, 27% of net issuance.
- The 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.27% on Aug. 14, its 2026 peak.
- Bitcoin fell 46.1% over 12 months while gold gained 32.6%.
Why the Dollar Hit a 3-Month Low and Bitcoin Only Moved 0.7%
- US payrolls fell 23,000 in July, and the dollar slid to a 3-month low.
- Gold gained 9.3% in a month. Bitcoin lost 0.8%.
- The Fed's July vote was 9-3, with 3 officials wanting a hike.
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Stablecoin Banking Competition Expands Beyond Settlement
- Stablecoins are gaining ground across payments, payroll, business transfers and settlement.
- Card issuance, foreign exchange, compliance and account management offer providers greater revenue opportunities and stronger customer relationships.
- Stablecoin neobanks face growing responsibility as they combine payments, yield, credit and trading within one product.
BitMart CEO Calls Accusations Fabricated as Users Report Frozen Withdrawals
- BitMart CEO Sheldon Lee calls withdrawal accusations fabricated rumors on X.
- Users demand verifiable reserves and a repayment plan by August 19.
- Former staff say last month's salaries and compensation remain unpaid.
