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Ripple (XRP) Price Lacks Momentum Despite Major $80 Million Whale Investment

3 mins
Updated by Artyom Gladkov
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In Brief

  • Investors are growing hawkish as Ripple (XRP) price enters its third consecutive week hovering just below the $0.49 mark. 
  • Declining network traction among retail participants appears to be hindering XRP’s price breakout chances.
  • Large Institutional XRP holders have made fresh investments worth more than $80 million in July 2023. 
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Investors are growing hawkish as Ripple (XRP) price enters its third consecutive week, hovering just below the $0.49 mark. Are the bearish retail investors keeping XRP prices stagnant?

As many crypto enthusiasts predicted, Ripple’s (XRP) long-running lawsuit with US SEC failed to reach a conclusion in H1 2023. The looming uncertainty has seen the XRP price stagnate between $0.47 and $0.49 for nearly three consecutive weeks. 

On-chain data shows that whale investors and retail market participants are now taking opposing stances. 

XRP Whales Have Invested Another $80 Million in July

Amid the apparent price stagnation, a large cluster of institutional investors has been taking long positions on XRP this month. 

The Santiment chart below shows that whales holding 1 million to 100 million XRP coins have added 170 million coins to their wallet balances since the start of July.

Ripple (XRP) Price Stagnant | Transaction Volume, July 2023
Ripple (XRP) Price Stagnant | Whales Wallet Balances, July 2023 | Source: Santiment

With XRP prices currently hovering around $0.47, the new investment by the whales is worth approximately $80 million. Under normal circumstances, such a large inflow of funds within a period of 10 days is enough to trigger a significant price surge. 

However, on-chain data suggests that retail investors across the XRP ledger network currently have other ideas.  

Downtrend in Network Activity Among Retail Investors Could Keep Price Stagnant

According to data compiled by Santiment, the hawkish positions taken by XRR retail investors appear to negate the whale’s bullish pressure. 

As shown below, the decline in Daily Active Addresses has dragged down the total transaction volume recorded across the XRP Ledger Network. 

Since the start of July, the total number of users deploying transactions on the XRP ledger network has declined by 50%. And despite the whales’ $80 million accumulation, the total XRP Transaction Volume also crashed by a whopping 92% during that same period. 

Ripple (XRP) Price Stagnant | Transaction Volume, July 2023
Ripple (XRP) Price Stagnant | Transaction Volume vs. Daily Active Addresses July 2023 | Source: Santiment

Daily Active Addresses measures the activity level among retail network participants by summing up the number of wallet addresses that carry out transactions. 

When it drops drastically, as observed above, it signifies that many retail investors are taking a hawkish position. The 90% drop in the total XRP Transaction Volume further confirms this bearish projection. 

In summary, while whales appear largely optimistic, on-chain data suggests that retail investors are taking a different disposition. If this trend lingers, the XRP price will likely remain neutral in the coming days. 

XRP Price Prediction: $0.50 Remains a Stumbling Block

Considering the aforementioned factors, the bulls are unlikely to find enough momentum to scale the $0.50 resistance in the coming days. 

In confirmation of this prediction, the MVRV ratio shows that after the price remained stagnant for 3 weeks, most XRP holders are now sitting on 3% losses. Historical data suggests that many could sell once they break even around $0.49. 

But if the bulls push past that resistance XRP could rally toward $0.52 before retracing. 

Ripple (XRP) Price Prediction | MVRV Ratio, July 2023
Ripple (XRP) Price Prediction | MVRV Ratio, July 2023 | Source: Santiment

Yet, the bears have a relatively equal chance of forcing a downswing if XRP loses the $0.45 support. However, investors could stop selling around $0.46 to keep their losses below 5%. 

Nevertheless, if the $0.45 support level caves, then XRP could dwindle toward $0.40.

If you are interested in how to boost your token price, then read our article on how to promote your web 3 project.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Ibrahim Ajibade
Ibrahim Ajibade Ademolawa is an experienced On-chain research analyst who began his career in Commercial Banking. He has worked with several Web3 startups and financial institutions —analyzing technical concepts and spectacular events that link the DeFi and TradFi worlds. He holds a Bachelors’ Degree in Economics and is currently pursuing an MSc. in Blockchain & Distributed Ledger Technologies.
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