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Ethereum (ETH) Dips After Fed Rate Update: $1,500 in Sight?

3 mins
Updated by Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • Ethereum (ETH) Price dropped to a 3-month on Thursday morning as markets reacted to the latest Fund Rate announcement by the US Fed.
  • On-chain data suggests that outflows from ETH long-term holders played a critical role in the ongoing price correction.
  • Extreme negative market sentiment suggests that ETH may retrace slightly further before making another rebound.
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Ethereum (ETH) price took a 7% downturn on Thursday morning as global markets reacted to the US Feds’ latest Fund Rate announcement. With Ethereum long-term holders showing weak hands, is ETH set for a prolonged bearish spell?

While the Fed paused interest rates this month, as expected, the regulator also signaled the possibility of further increases in the future. This killed investor excitement, especially across risk assets like BTC, ETH, and the general crypto markets.

Ethereum Long-Term Investors Are Showing Weak Hands

Ethereum has witnessed significant outflows from some of its long-term loyalists amid the market shake-up. According to Santiment’s Mean Coin Age data, a network-wide sell-off has occurred, especially among long-term investors. 

Mean Coin Age evaluates the market sentiment of long-term investors by measuring the average number of days that coins in circulation have spent in their current addresses.

The chart below shows that ETH Mean Coin Age dropped 9% from 37.87 to 34.56 between June 4 and June 15. 

Ethereum (ETH) Price Bearish, June 2023 - Mean Coin Age.
Ethereum (ETH) Price Bearish, June 2023 – Mean Coin Age. Source: Santiment

When Mean Coin Age drops considerably within a short period, it suggests many long-held coins are being offloaded. This can impact ETH prices negatively, as strategic investors may interpret it as the onset of a network-wide sell-off.

If the sell action continues and ETH is unable to attract sufficient demand, the bearish trend may linger in the coming weeks.

General Market Sentiment Slips Into Critically Negative Zone

Over the past week, general market sentiment surrounding ETH has slipped into the critically negative area. Santiment’s Weighted Sentiment chart evaluates the trending media opinions by comparing positive mentions of an asset against the negatives. 

As seen below ETH Weighted Sentiment has now remained below the critical  2.0 zone since June 9. 

Ethereum (ETH) Price Bearish, June 2023 - Weighted Sentiment.
Ethereum (ETH) Price Bearish, June 2023 – Weighted Sentiment. Source: Santiment

In concise terms, there are more than two negatives for every optimistic opinion about Ethereum. This indicates that the bears are now firmly controlling the media narratives. 

If this trend lingers, it could sway a significant portion of potential ETH investors to become bearish over the coming days.

In summary, the ongoing network-wide sell-offs and extreme negative market sentiment could potentially send ETH prices lower. 

ETH Price Prediction: Possible Drop to $1,500

Based on the abovementioned factors, ETH will likely drop below $1,500 in the coming weeks. However, the bears must first battle the initial support at $1,600. 

At that zone, the In/Out of Money Around Price data shows a cluster of 2.3 million investors who had bought 2.6 million ETH at an average price of $1,607. 

If the bears can clear that support zone, ETH will likely drop toward $1,500.

Ethereum (ETH) Price Bearish, June 2023 - IOMAP data
Ethereum (ETH) Price Bearish, June 2023 – IOMAP data. Source: IntoTheBlock

Still, the bulls could invalidate the negative stance if ETH can rebound above $1,700 again. However, the sell-wall mounted at the average price of $1,704 could stand in the way of that. As seen above, a cluster of 1.34 million investors holding 2.33 million ETH may sell around that price. 

If the bulls flip that resistance, ETH may climb further toward $1,900.

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In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

Ibrahim Ajibade
Ibrahim Ajibade Ademolawa is an experienced On-chain research analyst who began his career in Commercial Banking. He has worked with several Web3 startups and financial institutions —analyzing technical concepts and spectacular events that link the DeFi and TradFi worlds. He holds a Bachelors’ Degree in Economics and is currently pursuing an MSc. in Blockchain & Distributed Ledger Technologies.