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Can Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Overcome Its Bearish Trend? Here’s What You Need to Know

3 mins
Updated by Ryan James
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In Brief

  • The Dogecoin (DOGE) price could break down from a long-term descending triangle pattern. This could cause a 50% drop.
  • The readings from the weekly and daily timeframes are not in alignment with each-other. The weekly chart is bearish while the daily one is bullish.
  • A breakout from the short-term resistance line could cause a bounce while a breakdown from the $0.059 area will likely cause a sharp decline.
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The price of DOGE is potentially on the verge of experiencing a decline. This will be confirmed with a breakdown from a descending triangle pattern that has evolved for a long time. This breakdown could lead to a substantial 50% reduction in price.

Yet, the daily timeframe offers more positive signals, hinting at the possibility of a turnaround in the prevailing bearish trend.

Will Dogecoin Break Down From Long-Term Pattern?

The weekly timeframe Dogecoin price analysis indicates that the price has consistently stayed slightly above the $0.059 support level since June 2022. This support level has been verified multiple times, underscoring its significance.

Notably, the most recent confirmations (green icons) displayed extended lower wicks, suggesting heightened buying activity.

However, despite these positive signals, DOGE has encountered pressure due to a descending resistance trendline that has been active since November 2022. When combined with the $0.059 support, it forms a descending triangle, typically interpreted as a bearish pattern.

During this timeframe, DOGE has marked several lower highs, signifying a decrease in its upward momentum. The DOGE price has nearly retraced to the $0.059 level, nullifying the gains from its recent rebound.

A potential breakdown encompassing the entire height of this pattern (white) could potentially drive DOGE’s price down by roughly 50%.

Confirmation of this breakdown would necessitate DOGE closing below the $0.059 horizontal support level. Conversely, returning to the descending resistance line would signify a 16% increase.

Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Breakdown
DOGE/USDT Weekly Chart. Source: TradingView

The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI), which gauges momentum, corroborates the possibility of a breakdown.

Many traders rely on the RSI to evaluate whether an asset is in an overbought or oversold state, which assists them in making decisions about buying or selling. Currently, the RSI is below the 50 threshold (highlighted by a red circle) and is decreasing, indicating a bearish trend.

In recent news, FTX is preparing to liquidate various crypto assets. However, despite holding assets in Dogecoin, the insolvent exchange has no intentions of liquidating them.

DOGE Price Prediction: Can Bullish Pattern Spark Reversal?

Unlike the weekly timeframe, which is decisively bearish, the daily timeframe Dogecoin price analysis shows signs of a potential bullish trend reversal. This is because of the creation of a double bottom, which is considered a bullish pattern.

Furthermore, the pattern has been combined with a bullish divergence in the RSI. A bullish divergence occurs when a momentum increase accompanies a price decrease. This often leads to bullish trend reversals.

If the Dogecoin price breaks out from a short-term descending resistance line, it will confirm the validity of the double bottom pattern. This will likely cause a 16% increase in the long term above the descending resistance line.

On the other hand, a breakdown from the minor support at $0.061 will mean that the pattern is invalid. This would likely cause a long-term breakdown and initiate a 50% drop.

Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Short-Term Breakout
DOGE/USDT Six-Hour Chart. Source: TradingView

To conclude, the DOGE price prediction will determine whether the price breaks below $0.059-$0.061 or breaks out from the short-term resistance line. A breakdown can cause a 50% drop, while a breakout could cause a 16% increase.

For BeInCrypto’s latest crypto market analysis, click here.

Top crypto platforms in the US | March 2024

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Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.

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Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst. (I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)
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