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Toncoin (TON) Jumps Into Top 10 After Wallet Release: Can Price Break $3?

2 mins
Updated by Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • TON broke out from a long-term descending resistance line. It is 27% below its local high of December 2022.
  • The price action is bullish, but the RSI and Elliott Wave count suggest that the price will reach a top in the near future.
  • Failure to sustain the increase can lead to a retracement towards the descending resistance line at $1.77-$1.97.
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The Toncoin (TON) price broke out from a descending resistance line and is approaching its local high at $2.97.

The price action is still bullish, but the RSI readings and Elliott Wave count suggest that a top will be reached soon.

TON Price Breaks Out From 270-Day Resistance

The TON price has fallen under a descending resistance line since reaching a local high of $2.97 in December 2022. The decrease culminated with a low of $1.02 on June 10.

However, the price bounced sharply afterward, creating a very long lower wick, considered a sign of buying pressure. The long lower wick was massive, leading to a 45% increase the same day.

TON/USDT Daily Chart.
TON/USDT Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

After the bounce, TON created a higher low at the beginning of August and accelerated its increase afterward. On September 15, after being in place for 270 days, the TON price broke out from the descending resistance line.

It reached a high of $2.54 the next day. The increase occurred shortly after the TON wallet went live on Telegram, gaining exposure to 800 million users.

The December 2022 high of $2.97 is 27% above the current price, while the resistance line is at $1.90, 20% below the current price.

The daily RSI gives mixed signs. Traders use the RSI as a momentum gauge to evaluate if a market is overbought or oversold and make decisions about buying or selling assets. When the RSI reading is above 50 the upward trend indicates an advantage for bullish traders. Conversely, when the reading is below 50, the situation favors bearish traders.

While the indicator is increasing and above 50, it has also generated a bearish divergence (green line). This occurs when a momentum decrease accompanies a price increase and is a sign associated with local or absolute tops.

TON Price Prediction: How Long Will Increase Continue?

The technical analysis from the shorter-term six-hour timeframe shows that the Toncoin price is likely in the fifth and final wave of a five-wave upward movement (white).

Technical analysts employ the Elliott Wave theory as a means to identify recurring long-term price patterns and investor psychology, which helps them determine the direction of a trend.

According to the count, the TON price is approaching the end of the fifth wave. A likely target for the top is at $2.77. The target is found by projecting the length of wave one and three to the bottom of wave four.

This target is reached when the fifth wave extends, as has been the case for TON.

TON Price Prediction
TON/USDT Six-Hour Chart. Source: TradingView

After the top is reached, a significant correction is likely. While the target for the bottom depends on the exact top, a likely area is between the 0.5-0.618 Fib retracement support levels at $1.77-$1.97.

This would likely coincide with a retest of the long-term descending resistance line.

As a result, the most likely TON price prediction is bullish, predicting an increase towards the Dec. 2022 high at $2.97 but a likely top at $2.77. Failure to reach this level could lead to a 20% drop towards the $1.77-$1.97 region.

For BeInCrypto’s latest crypto market analysis, click here.

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In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst. (I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)