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Chainlink (LINK) Price Gives First Bearish Signs Since August – What’s Next?

3 mins
Updated by Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • The Chainlink (LINK) price failed to break out from a long-term horizontal resistance area last week.
  • The weekly and daily time frame Relative Strength Index (RSI) are both showing signs of weakness.
  • Despite the bearish LINK price prediction, an increase above $17.30 can extend the bullish trend.
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The Chainlink (LINK) price has decreased since its yearly high of $17.30 on December 9.

This is LINK’s first sign of weakness since the price broke out from a long-term descending resistance trend line. Can LINK regain its footing before the end of the year?

The LINK price has increased since June, when it traded at a low of $4.90. The increase accelerated in September, and the price broke out from a long-term descending resistance trend line the next month. At the time of the breakout, the trend line had been in place for almost 900 days.

The increase accelerated afterward, and the LINK price reached a new yearly high of $17.30 two weeks ago. However, it has fallen since and created a bearish engulfing candlestick last week, the first such candlestick since August.

The decrease validated a long-term horizontal resistance area.

Chainlink (LINK) Price Movement
LINK/USDT Weekly Chart. Source: TradingView

When evaluating market conditions, traders use the RSI as a momentum indicator to determine whether a market is overbought or oversold and whether to accumulate or sell an asset. If the RSI reading is above 50 and the trend is upward, bulls still have an advantage, but if the reading is below 50, the opposite is true.

The RSI shows signs of weakness since it is falling and has generated bearish divergence (green).

LINK Price Prediction: Is the Bottom In?

Utilizing the Elliott Wave theory, technical analysts examine long-term price patterns and investor psychology that recur to determine the direction of a trend.

The most likely wave count suggests that LINK completed a five-wave upward movement that began in June. The bearish divergence that developed in November indicates the upward movement is complete.

Despite this LINK price weakness, cryptocurrency trader The CryptoBull is bullish on the long-term trend. He tweeted:

If you’re emotional about $LINK price, simply put a sell order at $250, delete related apps, enjoy life, come back in 1-2 year tops. Profit.

Steve is also bullish because the Grayscale Chainlink Trust currently trades near $50, and he believes the price will follow.

In any case, if the count is correct, LINK has begun an A-B-C corrective structure (white). The first potential target for the bottom of this movement is at $12.50, 12% below the current price, while the second is at $11.05, 23% below the price.

The targets are found by the 0.382 and 0.5 Fib retracement support levels, respectively. 

LINK Price Prediction
LINK/USDT Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

Despite this bearish short-term LINK price prediction, increasing above the yearly high of $17.30 will mean the upward movement is ongoing. The LINK price could increase by nearly 40% to the next resistance at $20.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst. (I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)
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