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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Hits Critical Resistance After Reaching Yearly High – What’s Next?

2 mins
Updated by Ryan James
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In Brief

  • The Bitcoin (BTC) price is at risk of falling below a pivotal confluence of resistance levels, both horizontal and Fibonacci.
  • The weekly and daily time frame readings are indecisive, but the wave count suggests that another BTC high is in store.
  • Despite this bullish BTC price prediction, a decrease below $38,000 will mean that the correction has already begun.
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The Bitcoin (BTC) price reached a new yearly high of $44,700 on December 9 but fell afterward.

The high was made above a critical long-term resistance area, but the ensuing decrease took the price below it.

Bitcoin Deviates Above Long-Term Resistance

The weekly chart for Bitcoin reveals a rapid increase in price since mid-October, marked by eight successive bullish weekly candlesticks. Last week, Bitcoin hit a new yearly high of $44,700. The high was made above a critical horizontal and Fibonacci resistance level.

Despite the weekly close above this area, the BTC price has decreased considerably this week, risking making the previous breakout a deviation.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Movement
BTC/USD Weekly Chart. Source: TradingView

Traders commonly employ the Relative Strength Index (RSI) as a momentum indicator to identify overbought or oversold conditions and make asset accumulation or sale decisions.

Readings above 50 and an upward trend indicate a prevailing advantage for bulls, while readings below 50 suggest the opposite. The weekly RSI is above 50 and inside overbought territory. While the indicator has fallen slightly below this week, it still trades above the 70 level, the threshold for an overbought reading.

What Do Traders Say?

Cryptocurrency traders and analysts on X are bullish on the short-term BTC trend.

Credible Crypto is bullish because open interest has been wiped out in a noticeable deleveraging event. He tweeted:

For the first time in a long time, notable spot market buying here while perps are relatively flat. Perp premium also completely wiped out. Looks like spot takers are taking advantage of the dip and aggressively slurping up the discounts.

IncomeSharks believes that the price has now created a short-term range. After a deviation below the range low, he suggests that the price will begin an upward movement toward the highs.

BTC Price Movement
BTC/USDT Hourly Chart. Source: X

CryptoChase has an almost identical outlook, suggesting that the upward movement will continue after the price sweeps the lows at $40,000.

BTC Price Prediction: Is This the Beginning of the Correction?

Technical analysts utilize the Elliott Wave (EW) theory to identify recurring long-term price patterns and understand investor psychology, aiding in trend direction determination.

The most probable Elliott Wave count suggests that the Bitcoin price is approaching the top of wave three within a five-wave upward movement (white). Notably, wave three has extended, with sub-waves illustrated in black.

The anticipated target for the peak of wave three is $47,600, representing a 15% increase from the current price. The target length for sub-wave five is derived by combining sub-waves one and three, 

Following this, Bitcoin’s price may initiate the corrective wave four. The bearish divergence (green) in the RSI indicates that the upward movement is nearing its top.

BTC Price Prediction
BTC/USDT Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

Despite the bullish BTC price prediction, a close below the breakout level (red line) at $38,000 will mean that wave four has already begun. In that case, the BTC price could fall nearly 20% to the closest support at $33,000. 

For BeInCrypto’s latest crypto market analysis, click here.

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In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst. (I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)