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This Is How Tron (TRX) Could End up Falling by 18%

2 mins
Updated by Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • Tron price has lost the support of the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement, leaving it vulnerable to an 18% correction.
  • TRX is on the verge of witnessing the first Death Cross in nearly a year, backing the potential decline.
  • Investors are looking to sell, as evidenced by the fact that 48% of the active addresses are in profit.
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Tron (TRX) price is on the verge of witnessing corrections owing to broader market cues and profit taking.

The likely outcome is an 18% drawdown, which can only be prevented if this support level is reclaimed.

Tron Sees Rising Bearishness

Tron’s price noted a successful rally from early January to February end which flipped into corrections starting March. The onslaught of red candlesticks resulted in TRX falling by 21%, with another bout of declines noted in the past week.

Based on the price action, TRX will likely endure further losses owing to the formation of Death Cross on the daily chart. A Death Cross occurs when a short-term 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crosses below a long-term 200-day EMA, signaling potential bearish sentiment in the market.

Tron Death Cross.
Tron Death Cross. Source: TradingView

Should this Death Cross occur, it would mark the first such instance in over ten months, which could signal excessive declines.

Read More: 7 Best Tron Wallets for Storing TRX Tokens

To make this worse, TRX holders are showing no signs of fighting this decline either. Most investors are potentially aiming at profit-taking by looking at the distribution of active addresses by profitability. This metric highlights that more than 48% of all participating investors are in profit, which means they are potentially looking to book profits.

Tron Active Addresses by Profitability.
Tron Active Addresses by Profitability. Source: IntoTheBlock

Should this happen, TRX would witness a considerable drawdown.

TRX Price Prediction: Two Crucial Levels

Tron’s price trading at $0.109 has already lost the support of the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement of $0.152 to $0.050. The altcoin is now hovering above the 50% Fib line marked at $0.101. Looking at the market and investor cues, this support will likely be broken, and TRX could fall to $0.089.

This price point coincides with the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement, and a decline to it would result in an 18% correction.

TRX/USDT 3-day chart.
TRX/USDT 3-day chart. Source: TradingView

Read More: TRON (TRX) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

This bearish outcome can be invalidated provided Tron’s price can reclaim the 61.8% Fib level at $0.113. This level is also known as the bull market support floor, making it possible for TRX to reclaim $0.120.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Aaryamann Shrivastava
Aaryamann Shrivastava is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including Telegram Apps, liquid staking, Layer 1s, meme coins, artificial intelligence (AI), metaverse, internet of things (IoT), Ethereum ecosystem, and Bitcoin. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at FXStreet and AMBCrypto, covering all aspects of the crypto industry, including...
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