Is This the Last Chainlink (LINK) Price Drop Before a Possible 100% Rise?

2 mins
Updated by Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • The Chainlink (LINK) price shows positive long-term signs, reclaiming a critical support level at $5.80 after a previous unsuccessful breakdown.
  • Both the long- and short- wave counts are bullish, even though the latter suggests that there is one more leg down before the entire correction is done.
  • Despite the bullish long-term LINK price prediction, falling below $4.69 will invalidate this hypothesis and could send the LINK price to new lows.
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The price of Chainlink (LINK) demonstrates positive long-term bias as it successfully avoided a breakdown from a significant horizontal support area. It is attempting to confirm that same area as a support level.

Although the long-term outlook remains bullish, short-term readings suggest that the price has initiated a retracement. Nevertheless, there is potential for the LINK price to resume its upward movement and reach new highs after establishing a higher low.

Chainlink Price Reclaims Critical Long-Term Level

According to the weekly analysis, the price of LINK has been trading slightly above the $5.80 support level since April 2022. During this time, it encountered resistance at $8.90. However, in early June 2023, the price dropped below $5.80, initially indicating a breakdown from the long-term support. But, the price subsequently rebounded and has since risen, reclaiming the $5.80 area.

Therefore, what previously seemed like a breakdown is considered a deviation (green circle). This is considered a bullish sign, often followed by a notable upward movement.

Chainlink (LINK) Price Movement
LINK/USDT Weekly Chart. Source: TradingView

Although the price has recovered, the weekly RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows a neutral reading. RSI is a momentum indicator used by traders to assess whether a market is overbought or oversold and to determine whether to buy or sell an asset. Readings above 50 and an upward trend suggest that bulls still hold an advantage.

The opposite is true for readings below 50. Currently, the RSI is increasing but remains above 50. These mixed signals imply that the trend’s direction is uncertain.

While the overall trend on the weekly chart is only leaning bullish, the daily technical analysis provides a more decisively clear bullish perspective. The wave count and the RSI both support this prediction.

After the June 10 low, the LINK price has completed a five-wave increase (shown in black), suggesting a potential bullish trend reversal. However, it is currently undergoing a corrective phase within an A-B-C structure.

The most probable level for the correction to conclude is at the $5.73 support level. This represents a 0.5 Fibonacci retracement of the previous increase.

Elliott Wave theory analyzes recurring long-term price patterns and investor psychology to determine trend directions.

The most likely wave count indicates that the current increase is just the initial wave of a larger five-wave upward movement (white). If this holds true, the price will eventually surpass the resistance level at $9 and move into double-digit territory.

A potential target for the top of the third wave is at $9.80, created by the 2.61 extension of wave one.

Furthermore, the daily RSI rises above 50, indicating a bullish trend.

Chainlink (LINK) Price Reversal
LINK/USDT Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

However, it is important to note that if the price falls below the June 10 low of $4.69, it will indicate a continuing bearish trend.

In such a scenario, a decrease to $4 becomes the most likely outcome.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst. (I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)
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