Using blockchains for transactions and transfers has several benefits, including enhanced security and better record-keeping. Yet, higher transaction costs can make life difficult. Stellar, a decentralized peer-to-peer ecosystem, aims to eliminate this bottleneck. Throughout this Stellar price prediction piece, we shall see how and what that means for XLM — its native token.
We also assess the investment potential of XLM or Stellar Lumens — the native crypto of the Stellar network, which traced a high of $0.1632 in 2023, aligned with our 2023 price prediction. So, what does the future look like for Stellar? Let’s take a look. It would be interesting to see how the future turns out for this “Stellar” crypto project.
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- Stellar price prediction and the role of fundamentals
- Stellar price prediction and tokenomics
- XLM price prediction and key metrics
- Stellar price prediction and technical analysis
- Stellar (XLM) price prediction 2023
- Stellar (XLM) price prediction 2024
- Stellar (XLM) price prediction 2025
- Stellar (XLM) price prediction 2030
- Stellar (XLM’s) long-term price prediction until 2035
- Is the Stellar price prediction theory accurate?
- Frequently asked questions
This article may be outdated, we suggest you visit our new Stellar Lumens Price Prediction tool.
Stellar price prediction and the role of fundamentals
Before we conduct a technical analysis or consider tokenomics, let us first understand Stellar and its aims. Here are some quick pointers for reference:
- It is an open-source network with blockchain at its core. With the Stellar network, you can transfer assets and commodities to other parties at almost zero cost.
- Jed McCaleb, the co-founder of Stellar, was previously the co-founder of Ripple (XRP).
- The Stellar network boasts a novel consensus mechanism focusing on scalability, security, and affordability.
- Stellar Lumens (XLM) is meant to pay the network transaction fee and even serve as the bridge crypto for all cross-border transactions.
But these are just features; what about the utility? Here are some interesting points to consider:
- It aims to become a worthy alternative to traditional banking setups
- Supports micro-payments
- Enterprises can use it to issue new digital tokens
- It also serves as a decentralized crypto exchange
Did you know? XLM, the native cryptocurrency of the Stellar Lumens ecosystem was meant to facilitate speedy, cross-border transactions?
Stellar price prediction and tokenomics
It all started with the Stellar network putting forth a fixed supply cap of 100 billion XLM. Yet, four years post the launch, the Stellar Development Foundation trimmed the fixed supply to half or 50 billion. At present, 28.20 billion of those comprise the circulating supply.
Stellar has been around for quite a long time:
“A nice look back at 2017 for Stellar. It was a crazy/great year for us!”
Jed McCaleb, Founder of Stellar: X
Here is how optimistic the community was regarding XLM’s price in 2020:
However, the remaining 30 billion (almost) XLM tokens belong to the Stellar Development Foundation, which might be the most transparent representation of the tokenomics model.
Regarding the Stellar trading markets, the BeInCrypto liquidity score is almost 63 as of February 2023, which means that Stellar Lumens (XLM) have decent liquidity across exchanges.
Here is a snapshot of the spot trading market, with the XLM-USDT pairing holding most of the volume-specific limelight. Notice that most crypto exchanges have a decent Stellar-specific liquidity score. Notably, the XLM chart is from early 2023. It is December 2023 now, and XLM has better liquidity across exchanges like Binance and Coinbase.
XLM price prediction and key metrics
The future of the Stellar network depends on its adoption. Let us look closer at the active address count and the XLM price chart. The active address peak, surfacing on Feb. 18, 2023, is clear as a day. Interestingly, a surge followed the peak in the active address count in the price of the XLM coin.
This 90-day chart shows that every other significant peak in the number of active addresses resulted in a price surge, intensity notwithstanding.
While these charts are from early 2023, the latest active addresses used chart shows that Stellar adoption has been slow — a reason why the prices haven’t exceeded expectations.
Active addresses associated with crypto can involve both buyers and sellers. Now, let us take a closer look at the transaction activity within the Stellar ecosystem as of February 2023. This can show how actively people use this blockchain for its use cases and utility.
The 3-month transaction volume was nowhere close to the rallying active address count. Instead, the chart was relatively underwhelming, barring a few peaks in December 2022 and January 2023. However, those peaks did play a major role in kickstarting an uptrend. Hence, if you next see a surge in the transaction activity of Stellar, you might even expect a price rally of sorts — a sustainable one, if you will.
Even the Stellar (XLM) trading volume is a tad sluggish as of December 2023. This could be another reason why the price action hasn’t picked up pace.
BeInCrypto metrics
If you have eyes on the average price of the XLM coin in relation to key metrics like trading volume and market cap, here is an interesting monthly chart captured in February 2023.
A steady market cap and a rise in trading volume followed the price surge. Also, the rise in trading volume was good if you were eyeing up Stellar Lumens (XLM) for short-term gains.
As of December 2023, the market cap seems to be picking up, which might be a good sign for the XLM players.
Overall, the trading-specific attributes of the Stellar blockchain look pretty tepid, especially the trading volume. We might assume better price action once adoption metrics, such as the transaction volume, begin to improve.
Stellar price prediction and technical analysis
Before we delve deeper into the broader price patterns, let us take a closer look at XLM’s short-term price action:
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Our December 2023 analysis
You can see XLM trading inside an ascending channel pattern. Per the tepid fundamental metrics, keeping a closer eye on the lower trendline and if XLM aims to breach the same is advisable. A breach under the $0.126 can push the prices lower.
Now let us shift focus to the weekly chart: Here is the weekly chart of the XLM to help you gauge the upcoming long-term and short-term price movements.
A sequence of higher highs followed by a peak is clear. Once the peak surfaces, the chart shows a series of lower highs to the right — more like a mirror image of the left-sided chart pattern. Notice that the current price movement also resembles the trading levels of Stellar right at the beginning of the chart formation.
Hence, we might see the entire high-peak-high pattern conclude in time, kickstarting another higher high formation and, hence, a new pattern.
Pattern identification
Looking at the weekly RSI, if it breaches past the 46.14 mark, the current upward wave can start the next leg of higher highs at Stellar Lumens’ counter. Till then, prices could continue to move in a range.
Now let us prepare the chart by plotting the key highs and lows.
Notice that the chart itself has many higher and lower highs. However, we are only plotting the most significant levels to simplify calculations. Also, these highs and lows can serve as strong resistance and support levels during a market high or when the price of this Jed McCaleb-led enterprise drops.
Price changes
Let us start plotting the price percentages and distance between the key highs and lows for two separate paths: M to D and M1 to D. This will give us more data points for initiating a credible and robust technical analysis.
We can use the above data to locate the average price percentage for every low-to-high and high-to-low future price movement associated with Stellar Lumens (XLM).
Calculations
In analyzing the price movements of the Stellar blockchain, we use specific averages to forecast future price levels. The average increase is 208.31% for low-to-high movements using non-negative values.
The lowest expected price hike in weaker market scenarios could be around 98.01%. Conversely, the average decrease is -43.65% for high-to-low movements using negative values. During strong bullruns and robust market conditions, the lowest expected price drop could be -28.28%. Additionally, the timeline for these price movements varies.
The peak price timeline can range from 49 to 140 days, while the timeframe for a price drop can span from 14 to 112 days, as indicated by the data from the tables above. With these values in hand, we can now draw the future price forecast levels pertinent to the Stellar blockchain.
Stellar (XLM) price prediction 2023
XLM did peak in 2023. However, it fell short of our expected price level due to underwhelming fundamentals. Here is what we discussed during our XLM price prediction for 2023.
The last low on the weekly chart stands at M1. Considering the current market conditions and the active address growth, the next high, or A2, could surface at the average price percentage peak of 208.31%.
This projection puts the Stellar Lumens price prediction high for 2023 at $0.21944. Notice we have considered the timeframe to be 140 days, as mentioned previously.
The Stellar Lumens price prediction low for 2023 could see XLM drop 43.65% from A2. This puts the upcoming N2 point at $0.12339. While these are the Stellar price predictions for 2023, we do expect them to move slightly, depending on the trading volume, short-term patterns, and even the growth (degrowth) in the transaction volumes.
Stellar (XLM) price prediction 2024
Outlook: Bullish
The Stellar price predictions for 2023 set a good base for future Stellar price forecasts. The next high or B2 can, therefore, surface at close to $0.381 — a near 208.31% price hike (using the average price growth calculation from earlier).
This could be the Stellar Lumens price prediction for 2024. As for the low in 2024, the average price drop expectation of 43.65% remains consistent enough. This puts XLM’s price at $0.214 by mid-2024.
Do note that multiple support levels are at $0.35 and even $0.312. XLM can find support here, market conditions in 2024 permitting. However, in 2024, XLM might still try to respect the 2023 predicted support level of $0.123
Projected ROI from the current level: 194%
Stellar (XLM) price prediction 2025
Outlook: Bullish
We can expect another growth surge from the low in 2024 or O2. And while the chart might place it by late 2024, we expect the same in 2025, as the previous peaks will also lead to sell-offs. This might extend the price peak timeline a little. Hence, the Stellar price prediction for 2025 could see the price settling close to $0.44127, considering it to be a strong resistance level.
It would be surprising to know that this crucial resistance level coincides with C1 from the previous pattern. Hence, the Stellar price forecast for 2025 could find a quick high at $0.44156. Also, a drop of 43.65% from this level might place the low in 2025 at $0.24880.
Projected ROI from the current level: 241%
Stellar (XLM) price prediction 2030
Outlook: Very bullish
Despite the expected sell-off in 2025, P2 or the 2025 high will close higher than the 2024 low or O2. This makes us bullish about the XLM price, reading a new peak or D2 by 2026. Using the average price hike of 208.31% (from the earlier sections), we can expect the high in 2026 to surface at $0.766.
Notice that this could be the middle point of the current pattern. The next drop or the low in 2026 could surface at $0.431. At this point, an interesting trend might surface, keeping the price history of XLM into consideration.
Road to 2027
Notice that the new low falls lower than the previous high of C2 — an important resistance level turned support level. A drop under C2 or $0.441 can weaken the prices, thereby kickstarting the lower-high part of the pattern.
Therefore, instead of the usual growth hike of 208.31%, we can expect XLM’s next high to settle at a growth level of 98.01% ( the minimum growth percentage from the tables above). This puts the next level, or C3, at $0.85. And this is where things get interesting.
Even with a lesser price hike figure, the next high still manages to breach the previous high. And this is when we get most optimistic about the price forecast of Stellar Lumens or XLM. And this might also kickstart a new pattern as opposed to the older “higher high-peak-lower high” pattern.
Using Fib extensions, we can also use the low in 2026 and 2027 high to project the price path of XLM till 2030. Keeping the same growth pattern in sight, you can expect the Stellar price prediction for 2030 to settle at $3.27.
Projected ROI from the current level: 2427%
Stellar (XLM’s) long-term price prediction until 2035
Outlook: Bullish
If the Stellar blockchain keeps growing till 2030, over time, we can see it getting listed on several other crypto exchanges. Therefore, long-term XLM coin holders might even want to stick with their Stellar Lumens through 2035. Here is a table to help them check the Stellar price forecasts through 2035, courtesy of extrapolated technical analysis and realistic price projections.
You can easily convert your XLM to USD here
| Year | | Maximum price of XLM | | Minimum price of XLM |
| 2023 | $0.1632 | $0.071 |
| 2024 | $0.381 | $0.12339 to $0.214 |
| 2025 | $0.44156 | $0.24880 |
| 2026 | $0.766 | $0.431 |
| 2027 | $0.85 | $0.66 |
| 2028 | $1.27 | $0.78 |
| 2029 | $1.90 | $0.94 |
| 2030 | $3.27 | $2.55 |
| 2031 | $4.25 | $3.32 |
| 2032 | $6.37 | $4.96 |
| 2033 | $9.56 | $5.92 |
| 2034 | $12.43 | $7.70 |
| 2035 | $16.16 | $12.60 |
Is the Stellar price prediction theory accurate?
This Stellar price prediction model is relatable and practical. It considers the price history and project fundamentals and employs a data-backed technical analysis. Plus, we also focus on key metrics like transaction volume and active address to paint a well-rounded picture of the Stellar network and the possible future of XLM.
Frequently asked questions
What will XLM be worth in 2025?
Can Stellar Lumen reach $1?
Is Stellar better than Cardano?
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