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Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Stuck in Limbo: Will Whales Trigger a Rebound or Reversal?

2 mins
Updated by Ryan James
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In Brief

  • Dogecoin (DOGE) has ranged between $0.072 and $0.070 this week.
  • Two critical Dogecoin whale cohorts are taking contradictory market moves.
  • The declining NVT ratio suggests that the bullish whales could gain the upper hand.
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Dogecoin (DOGE) started May 2023 negatively as investors turned their attention to new trendy memecoins like PEPE (PEPE) and DogeElon Mars (ELON). On-chain data shows that the bullish $0.10 DOGE price prediction now hangs in the balance as whale investors take opposing positions. 

Dogecoin price showed early signs of a bullish reversal after a 3% rebound from its recent low of $0.071 on May 13. But ever since, DOGE price has hovered between $0.072 and $0.075.

This stagnation could be attributed to the two critical whale cohorts taking opposing stances on DOGE price this week. 

Here’s a data-driven on-chain analysis of how the bullish whales could gain the upper hand in the coming days. 

Two Dogecoin Whale Cohorts Face Off 

According to on-chain data, two critical whale cohorts are taking opposing stances on DOGE this week. 

Between May 13 and May 19, Dogecoin Whales holding balances of 10 million to 100 million coins have sold off 860 million DOGE.

But simultaneously, the chart below shows how the whales holding 100 million to 1 billion coins have bought 1.72 billion DOGE.

Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Prediction - Whales Wallet Balances. May 2023.
Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Prediction – Whales Wallet Balances. May 2023. Source: Santiment

On-chain data shows that while the divergent trading activity of both cohorts has been synchronized, the bullish whales have bought double the number of coins sold by the bears. 

Potentially, excess demand by the bullish whales could drown out the bears’ sell pressure and propel DOGE into another bullish price movement.

At Current Prices, Dogecoin Appears Undervalued 

Over the past few weeks, investors’ growing interest in newly-emerged memecoins like PEPE has seen Dogecoin attract much less demand. The decline in Dogecoin Network Value to Transaction Volume (NVT) ratio indicates that DOGE is undervalued. 

Additionally, the chart below shows how the NVT ratio has dropped 62% from 163.06 to 63.15 between May 7 and May 17. 

Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Prediction – NVT Ratio. May 2023. Source: Santiment

Typically, strategic investors use the NVT ratio to evaluate the relationship between a cryptocurrency’s market capitalization and the underlying transactional activity.

When the NVT ratio drops considerably, as observed above, it indicates that the asset is undervalued. 

In summary, the low NVT ratio could spur other investors to mirror the trades of the bullish whales. If that happens, the heightened demand could validate bullish DOGE price predictions. 

DOGE Price Prediction: Bulls Can Target $0.10

IntoTheBlock’s Global In/Out of Money (GIOM) data suggests that the next Dogecoin price rally could reach $0.10

Bulls could be confident of this bullish DOGE price prediction, but it must first clear the initial critical resistance at $0.075. However, profit-taking by 158,000 investors that bought 44 billion DOGE coins at the maximum price of $0.075 may trigger a pullback.

Nevertheless, if DOGE breaches that resistance, the bulls can garner enough steam to push for the $0.10 target.

Dogecoin Price Prediction - May 2023 - GIOM data.
Dogecoin Price Prediction – May 2023 – GIOM data. Source: IntoTheBlock

Still, the bears could negate the positive Dogecoin price prediction if DOGE retraces unexpectedly below $0.066. Although, 470,000 investors that bought 12.2 billion tokens at an average price of $0.066 can offer support.

However, if that support level breaks, it could trigger a larger drop toward $0.056.


In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions.

Ibrahim Ajibade
Ibrahim Ajibade Ademolawa is an experienced research analyst who began his career in Commercial Banking. He has worked with several Web3 startups and financial institutions...