Cardano (ADA) Bounces Back with 40% Price Increase: What’s Driving the Rally?

  • The ADA price has increased by 38% since June 10 and has reclaimed a key horizontal level in the process.
  • The price action and daily RSI are bullish but the wave count does not confirm the bullish trend reversal yet.
  • Should the ADA price climb beyond the $0.35 mark, it would confirm the bullish trend reversal, indicating positive market movement.
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The Cardano (ADA) price prediction is gradually turning bullish due to an impressive increase since June 10.

Despite the massive increase, it is not yet certain if the upward movement is part of a relief rally or if it is the beginning of a new bullish trend reversal.

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Cardano Price Recovers After Yearly Low

The daily time frame technical analysis for ADA shows that the ADA price has recovered by 38% since falling to a new yearly low of $0.22 on June 10. The increase has been swift, creating a very long lower wick.

This is considered a sign of buying pressure since sellers could not push the price down. Rather, buyers took over and caused the close period to be considerably higher than the low.

Additionally, this increase caused a reclaim of the $0.25 horizontal area, which is now expected to provide support once again.

Cardano (ADA) Price Movement
ADA/USDT Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

Additionally, the weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) gives a bullish reading. Traders utilize the RSI as a momentum indicator to assess whether a market is overbought or oversold and to determine whether to accumulate or sell an asset.

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If the RSI reading is above 50 and the trend is upward, bulls still have an advantage, but if the reading is below 50, the opposite is true. The indicator is increasing and has nearly moved above 50.

Moreover, the RSI moved outside of its oversold territory (green circle) and is breaking out from its bearish trendline.

ADA Price Prediction: Relief Rally or Trend Reversal?

A closer look at the wave count does not confirm the direction of the trend. However, it offers queues for what can be based on future movement. Elliott Wave theory involves the analysis of recurring long-term price patterns and investor psychology to determine the direction of a trend.

The first possibility is that the ADA price completed an A-B-C correction (black). If so, a new increase has begun to take it to $0.50.

The second possibility suggests that the ADA price is still mired in a five-wave decrease (white). In this case, the price will complete wave four soon and then fall toward $0.20.

The key level to watch in these possibilities is $0.35, at the wave one/A low (red line). If the ADA price moves above it, it will confirm that the trend is bullish. In that case, an increase to $0.50 will be the most likely scenario.

On the other hand, failure to reach the level will mean that a bearish scenario is transpiring.

Cardano (ADA) Price Prediction
ADA/USDT Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

To conclude, the ADA price prediction is still undetermined. Whether the price moves above $0.35 will be key in determining the future movement.

An increase above the level can trigger a pump to $0.50, while failure to do so could cause a drop to $0.20.

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Disclaimer

This Analysis reflects BeInCrypto's editorial interpretation of information and data available at publication and may become outdated. It is general and non-personalised, does not consider your circumstances, and is not investment research, financial, investment, legal or tax advice, an offer or a recommendation. Forecasts, targets, technical analysis and forward-looking statements are uncertain and may not materialise; past performance and indicators do not predict future results. References to assets, products or providers do not imply endorsement. Crypto-assets and financial products may result in total loss. Verify material information before acting.

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