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Citadel Sees Surprise Fed Rate Hike as Odds Hit 37.9%
- Citadel Securities expects the Fed to hike rates on Wednesday.
- Traders price 37.9% hike odds, up from 25.7% one week ago.
- Kalshi and Polymarket show eveb lower hike odds near 28%.
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The US-Iran Ceasefire Was an Illusion. Markets are Paying the Price
- The US-Iran ceasefire was a temporary pause that left the core disputes unresolved.
- Renewed tensions around the Strait of Hormuz are already hitting oil, shipping, insurance, and global trade.
- Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are falling with risk assets as liquidity pressure outweighs the safe-haven narrative.
Bitmine Stock Pops 13% as ETH Treasury Bet Pays Off on Wall Street
- Bitmine (BMNR) stock popped 13% after its Ethereum treasury update.
- The firm now holds 4.8% of Ethereum's total circulating supply.
- BitMine was the best performer on Wall Street on Monday topping $18.
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Cardano’s Hoskinson Says ‘Best Days Are Ahead’: ADA Price Down 95% From Top
- Hoskinson insists Cardano's best days remain ahead despite ADA's slide.
- ADA trades near $0.15, down 95% from its $3.09 all-time high.
- Hoskinson calls for a new approach, citing the 'demons' holding Cardano back.
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Dan Niles Says Apple Was ‘Incompetent’ With AI, So Why Is The Stock at All-Time Highs?
- Dan Niles says Apple got lucky for being incompetent on AI spending.
- Apple stock closed at $333.02 on July 24, near its $334.99 record.
- Niles flags Apple's high-30s P/E as a risk into Thursday's earnings.
The Closest IPO Parallel to SpaceX Is Not Tesla But This Stock
- SpaceX stock sits near $115, about 15% below its $135 IPO price.
- Up to 911.5 million SpaceX shares can be sold from August 6.
- Meta fell 53% in 2012, then took 14.5 months to recover.
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Crypto Forensics Got Smarter, But AI Scammers Got There First
- Blockchain forensics tools have recovered an estimated $34 billion and are used by 45+ regulators as detection has genuinely improved.
- Yet 2025 crypto scam losses hit roughly $17 billion, with AI-powered scams 4.5x more profitable and impersonation fraud up 1,400%.
- The scams that do the most damage never touch the chain and that's the gap no forensic tool can close.
China Is Outspending the US on Crypto Rails, Coinbase Tells Senate
- China's digital currency has already moved $2.37 trillion in payments
- The US leads China 23 to 1 on private AI spending
- Coinbase warns about China but runs Chinese AI to cut costs
