TomoChain (TOMO) Breaks Out but Fails to Maintain Higher Prices

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In Brief
  • TOMO/USD has broken out from a descending resistance line.

  • There is support and resistance at $0.58 and $0.925 respectively.

  • Long-tern indicators are bullish but shorter-term signals show weakness.

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The Tomochain (TOMO) price has broken out from a long-term descending resistance line but has failed to sustain its higher prices.



While TOMO is expected to continue increasing, a retracement could occur prior to the resumption of the upward move.

 

TOMO Breakout Doesn’t Last Long 

TOMO had been following a descending resistance line since Aug. 13 and made four unsuccessful attempts at breaking out. On Dec. 14, TOMO was finally successful in breaking out above this line and proceeded to reach a high of $0.926 a few days later.



However, the higher prices could not be sustained and TOMO created a long upper wick before decreasing. The wick re-validated the $0.925 area as resistance. This price is also the 0.618 Fib retracement level of the prior decrease.

A breakout above the $0.925 resistance would likely trigger a sharp increase towards $1.21. Conversely, the closest support area is found at $0.58.

Technical indicators in the daily time-frame are bullish, supporting the continuation of the upward move. A bullish cross in the Stochastic oscillator would likely confirm that the trend is bullish.

TOMO Chart By TradingView

Cryptocurrency trader @mesawine1 outlined a TOMO chart, stating that a breakout above the current descending resistance line would likely take the price to $1.

Since the tweet, TOMO has broken out from the line and reached a high of $0.926 before decreasing towards $0.80, where it is currently trading.

Source: Twitter

Future Movement

A look at the six-hour chart shows that TOMO is following a steep short-term ascending support line and also facing resistance at $0.85.

At the time of press, the point of convergence between the support line and the resistance area is close, which means a decisive move is expected to occur soon.

A breakdown from the line would likely take TOMO to $0.635 — the 0.618 Fib retracement of the entire upward move.

The next support level below that is found at the range lows near $0.56.

TOMO Chart By TradingView

The two-hour chart shows clear signs of weakness. Both the RSI and MACD have generated bearish divergences, a sign of a weakening trend.

Therefore, it is more likely that TOMO breaks down and moves towards the support levels.

A close above the $0.85 resistance area would invalidate this scenario.

TOMO Chart By TradingView

TomoChain Wave Count

The wave count suggests that TOMO began a bullish impulse in March and is currently in cycle wave 3 (shown in white below).

A preliminary target for the top of cycle wave 3 is found at $2.78 but will depend on how the wave formation develops (orange).

TOMO Chart By TradingView

A closer look at the movement reveals that while TOMO has completed wave 1 (orange), it is not yet certain if it’s still correcting inside wave 2 or has already completed it.

The most likely scenario, which would fit with the short-term readings, suggests that TOMO is still in wave 2 and will soon decrease to complete the pattern.

A potential target for the bottom would be at $0.56, fitting with the target given in the previous section.

The sub-wave count is shown in black:

TOMO Chart By TradingView

An alternative count suggests that the correction is complete and the price has now begun wave 3.

A breakout above the parallel channel, which would also be a breakout above the previously mentioned $0.85 resistance area, would confirm that this is the correct count.

TOMO Chart By TradingView

Conclusion

While the longer-term trend looks bullish, it’s not yet clear if TOMO has completed its short-term correction or if there is one more wave down to go.

Whether TOMO breaks out from the short-term parallel channel or gets rejected by it should help in determining if the correction is complete.

For BeInCrypto’s latest Bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here!

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency trading carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The views expressed in this article do not reflect those of BeInCrypto.

Disclaimer

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Valdrin is a cryptocurrency enthusiast and financial trader. After obtaining a masters degree in Financial Markets at the Barcelona Graduate School of Economics he began working at the Ministry of Economic Development in his native country of Kosovo. In 2019, he decided to focus full-time on cryptocurrencies and trading.

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