Polkadot (DOT) Struggles to Break $5 Due to Market Pressures

2 mins
Updated by Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • Polkadot's (DOT) price has fallen over 10% in the past week, dipping below $5 for the first time since November 2023.
  • Currently trading at $4.59, DOT faces significant selling pressure, with key indicators suggesting a continued downtrend.
  • DOT's 20-day EMA and 50-day SMA are acting as resistance levels, and if the coin fails to break above these, it may drop to a low of $3.59.
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Polkadot’s (DOT) price has plummeted over 10% in the past week. Monday’s market troubles caused it to trade below the $5 price level for the first time since November 2023. On that day, the altcoin even plunged to a low of $3.75 before rebounding. 

Currently trading at $4.59, DOT now faces a steep climb back above the $5 mark.

Polkadot Faces Headwinds as It Attempts to Reclaim $5

DOT’s key technical indicators assessed on a one-day chart suggest that a break above the $5 price mark might be challenging as selling pressure gains momentum. 

As of this writing, readings from DOT’s Directional Movement Index (DMI) show its negative directional indicator (-DI) (red) resting above its positive directional indicator (+DI) (blue)

An asset’s DMI measures the strength and direction of its market trend. The downtrend is strong when the +DI line is below the -DI line. This means that sellers have more control over the market than buyers. 

The greater the distance between the -DI and the +DI, the stronger the downward momentum. In DOT’s case, the downtrend is significant as the -DI line is 40.69, while the +DI line is 6.20.

Further, DOT’s Average Directional Index (ADX) (yellow) is in an uptrend at 43.37. Generally, when an asset’s ADX is rising while the -DI is above the +DI, it indicates that the downward trend is strong and likely to continue.

dot directional movement index
Polkadot Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

At press time, DOT trades below its 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) (yellow) and its 50-day small moving average (SMA) (blue).

An asset’s 20-day EMA is a short-term moving average that reacts quickly to price changes. It reflects the average closing price of an asset over the past 20 days. On the other hand, its 50-day SMA is a longer-term moving average that measures its average closing price over the past 50 days.

Read more: What Is Polkadot (DOT)?

dot 2-day ema and 50-day sma
Polkadot Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

When an asset trades below these key moving averages, it is a bearish signal. It means that short-term and medium-term traders are selling the asset, leading to sustained downtrend pressure.

DOT Price Prediction: A Rally Above These Averages Is Important

DOT’s 20-day EMA and 50-day SMA may act as resistance levels. If it tries to rally above them, it may face selling pressure around these averages and resume its downtrend. If this happens, DOT’s price may fall to the nine-month low of $3.59, which it traded at on Monday.

Read more: Polkadot (DOT) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

dot price prediction
Polkadot Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if the coin initiates an uptrend and breaks above these moving averages, its price target will be $6.76.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment,...
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