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Bitcoin (BTC) Set for $1.5 Trillion Market Cap as Institutions Turn Bullish

2 mins
Updated by Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • Fidelity Investments' Jurrien Timmer predicts that Bitcoin's market cap could surge if takes over a quarter of the market share of gold.
  • According to on-chain analyst Kevin Svenson, the price of Bitcoin may surge to $90,000, based on parabolic trends seen in recent cycles.
  • Recent surges in Bitcoin's price has caused previously skeptical institutions excluding Berkshire Hathaway, to legitimize the BTC asset.
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Analysts predict the Bitcoin (BTC) market cap will reach $1.5 trillion amid surges in spot exchange-traded funds (ETF) from BlackRock and others and the trade volume of the top 10 crypto assets. Jurrien Timmer from Fidelity predicts that Bitcoin will soon capture 25% of the non-industrial gold market.

Institutions and analysts have turned bullish that surges in XRP, ETH, and BTC, coupled with ETF-fueled interest from institutions, will see the crypto market increase its capitalization by at least $500 billion.

Why the Bitcoin Market Cap Is Rising

This week, Elon Musk implicitly endorsed Bitcoin as a true currency in response to a 2016 statement from Warren Buffett. Buffett said in 2016 that time, not money, was useful for him.

Musk replied with ‘time is currency,’ echoing reflections from an anonymous writer, Gigi, who said that Bitcoin block height is a time measurement. Musk’s tweet comes amid feverish speculation about the future of Bitcoin. Recent surges in XRP, ETH, and BTC prices have increased cryptocurrency market capitalization to over $2 trillion.

“Today, it is again a timekeeping device that is trans­forming our civiliza­tion. a clock, not computers, is the true key-machine of the modern infor­ma­tional age. And this clock is Bitcoin,” Gigi wrote.

Read more: What Is Market Capitalization? Why Is It Important in Crypto?

Bitcoin market cap blackrock spot ETF
Bitcoin Market Cap | Source: TradingView

Renowned analyst Kevin Svenson said that Bitcoin could double based on how closely its price has tracked a recent trendline. Svenson noted via on-chain analysis that Bitcoin’s price will double a so-called ‘Base 3’ value according to parabolic crypto trading patterns seen in every cycle. Earlier this year, the asset’s price reached $45,000 at Base 3, which means a $90,000 price is possible.

How the BlackRock Spot Bitcoin ETF Coaxed Firms

Institutions that steered clear of Bitcoin are now embracing it, some at arm’s length. JPMorgan, whose CEO called Bitcoin a pet rock, recently upgraded the stock of US crypto exchange Coinbase to neutral, arguing that Bitcoin’s rally after the US Securities and Exchange Commission approved spot ETFs has proven sustainable. Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro at Fidelity Investments, recently offered a bullish take on Bitcoin’s taking the market share of so-called monetary gold, i.e., gold that is not used in jewelry or manufacturing.

“Based on the calculations outlined in my previous threads, I estimate that Bitcoin will eventually capture around a quarter of the monetary gold market. At 40%, monetary gold is currently worth around $6 trillion, while Bitcoin is worth $1 trillion,” Timmer said.

Investment advisory firm Carson Group recently onboarded four of the 10 Bitcoin ETFs, including Fidelity’s. Bitcoin ETFs from Fidelity and BlackRock have been the largest, with BlackRock’s becoming the fifth-largest ETF among all asset classes.

Read more: What Is a Bitcoin ETF?

But Buffett, one of the world’s most famous and successful investors, is still unconvinced. Last year, he told investors at a Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting that Bitcoin had zero value.

His comments were similar to those in a recent critique from the European Union. They said in a recent release that Bitcoin cannot generate cash flow, nor can investors view it as a commodity. BeInCrypto asked Berkshire Hathaway for their perspective on Bitcoin but had not heard back at press time.

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David Thomas
David Thomas graduated from the University of Kwa-Zulu Natal in Durban, South Africa, with an Honors degree in electronic engineering. He worked as an engineer for eight years, developing software for industrial processes at South African automation specialist Autotronix (Pty) Ltd., mining control systems for AngloGold Ashanti, and consumer products at Inhep Digital Security, a domestic security company wholly owned by Swedish conglomerate Assa Abloy. He has experience writing software in C...
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