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Dogecoin (DOGE) Alert: Significant Drop in Network Activity Detected – What’s Next?

4 mins
By Konstantin Kaiser
Translated Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • Despite Dogecoin's network activity decline, its price has risen sharply, potentially leading to a 30% price increase if it breaks $0.093 resistance.
  • Over 60% of Dogecoin addresses are profitable, reflecting the cryptocurrency's recent market performance and price fluctuations.
  • Dogecoin ownership reveals a concentration among large investors and whales, with 43% of the total supply held by nine whale addresses.
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The recent data from IntoTheBlock indicates that Dogecoin’s network activity has experienced a significant decline over the past week, even as the price of the cryptocurrency has been rising sharply.

To assess whether this trend is indicative of a bullish or bearish market sentiment, the analysis relies on blockchain data and insights provided by IntoTheBlock, a valuable crypto tool that specializes in extracting and analyzing data directly from blockchain networks.

Dogecoin’s Dilemma: Facing a Price Correction or Poised for 30% Gain?

The current state of Dogecoin (DOGE) in the daily chart exhibits a strongly bullish trend. The cryptocurrency has successfully surpassed the golden ratio resistance near $0.082, reaching a new high. This achievement effectively concludes the previous corrective phase. Dogecoin is now encountering the next significant Fibonacci resistance level around $0.093.

Should Dogecoin break through this resistance, there is potential for an additional 30% increase in price, targeting the golden ratio level at approximately $0.12. Supporting this bullish outlook, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram is trending upwards, and the MACD lines are in a bullish crossover.

Furthermore, the Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) display a golden crossover, reinforcing the bullish trend in the short to medium term. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating a bearish divergence, which might lead to a corrective price movement in the near future.

Dogecoin Price Chart. Source: Tradingview
Dogecoin Price Chart. Source: Tradingview

If a correction in DOGE’s price occurs, the next significant Fibonacci support levels are anticipated at around $0.078 and $0.07, respectively.

Over 60% of Dogecoin Addresses Profitable: A Positive Trend

Currently, approximately 65% of Dogecoin (DOGE) wallet addresses are in a profitable position, meaning they are in the ‘green zone.’ Conversely, about 29% of these addresses are experiencing a loss, placing them in the ‘red zone.’

Furthermore, nearly 6.7% of DOGE holders are in a break-even situation, where selling their DOGE tokens at the current market price would neither result in a profit nor a loss.

In/Out the Money Dogecoin
In/Out the Money Dogecoin. Source: IntoTheBlock

This distribution of profit and loss among DOGE holders reflects the cryptocurrency’s recent market performance and price fluctuations.

Expansion on the Horizon: The Dogecoin Network Experiences Growth

The Dogecoin network is exhibiting signs of growth. Over the past 30 days, the average count of addresses holding Dogecoin (DOGE) balances was approximately 4.97 million. At a certain point within this period, the number even reached around 5.13 million addresses.

Dogecoin InToTheBlock On-Chain Analysis
Number of DOGE Addresses. Source IntoTheBlock

This data indicates an increase of about 50,000 addresses since the last analysis was conducted. Such an uptick in the number of addresses with DOGE balances suggests an expanding user base and growing interest in Dogecoin, reflecting positive dynamics within the Dogecoin community and network.

Dogecoin Network Sees Sharp Decline in Activity Over Past Week

The Dogecoin network has experienced a significant decline in activity over the past week. This downturn is evidenced by a more than 51% reduction in the number of active DOGE addresses. Such a sharp decrease indicates a notable drop in transactions or movements involving Dogecoin.

Additionally, there has been a roughly 67% decrease in creating new DOGE addresses during this period. This substantial fall suggests a slowdown in the influx of new participants or investors in the Dogecoin market.

Furthermore, there has been a decline of approximately 16% in the number of addresses that do not hold any DOGE balances. This reduction could indicate a movement of dormant or inactive addresses either becoming active or being closed.

DOGE Active Addresses Within 24 hours.
DOGE Active Addresses Within 24 hours. Source: IntoTheBlock

Overall, these statistics point towards a significant reduction in both participation and interest in the Dogecoin network over the past week, marking a phase of decreased activity and engagement within the Dogecoin ecosystem.

Dogecoin Sentiment on Telegram: Predominantly Positive Vibes

The sentiment surrounding Dogecoin on Telegram channels appears to be predominantly positive, as indicated by the number of news stories. There have been nearly 259 positive news pieces about Dogecoin. Which is more than double the count of negative news, which is around 107 stories.

This disparity suggests a generally favorable perception or reception of Dogecoin within the Telegram community or among users who discuss cryptocurrencies on the platform.

However, despite this positive news coverage, the Dogecoin Telegram group has experienced a notable decrease in its membership since the end of 2021. This decline in group members might suggest a waning interest or engagement among the community, irrespective of the positive news narrative.

Telegram Mood and Users Dogecoin.
Telegram Mood and Users Dogecoin. Source: IntoTheBlock

It could also reflect broader trends in the cryptocurrency market or shifts in the ways people choose to gather information and discuss digital currencies.

Over One-Third of Dogecoin Supply Held by Retail Investors

The ownership distribution of Dogecoin reveals a substantial concentration among large investors and whales. Specifically, there are about 81 large investors, each possessing between 0.1% and 1% of the total Dogecoin tokens.

Collectively, these investors hold approximately 22% of the entire Dogecoin supply. This indicates a significant portion of the cryptocurrency is in the hands of a relatively small group.

Moreover, there are nine whale addresses in the Dogecoin network. These whales are particularly noteworthy as each of them owns at least 1% of the total Dogecoin supply. Which cumulatively accounts for nearly 43% of it.

This concentration of ownership in whale addresses underscores a major aspect of Dogecoin’s ownership structure. Where a small number of entities control a substantial fraction of the total supply.

Ownership by Dogecoin type
Ownership by Type for Dogecoin. Source: IntoTheBlock

The remaining share of Dogecoin, amounting to about 35.22%, is held by small investors. These are addresses that each hold less than 0.1% of the Dogecoin tokens and are classified as retail investors.

This segment represents the broader base of individual or smaller-scale holders within the Dogecoin ecosystem.

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Ryan Boltman
Ryan Boltman is a managing editor at BeInCrypto, specializing in the crypto markets with a strong focus on technical and on-chain analysis across a broad spectrum of digital assets. His areas of expertise include Layer-1 and Layer-2 solutions, artificial intelligence (AI), real-world assets (RWA), decentralized finance (DeFi), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), meme coins, and altcoins. Before his current role, Ryan contributed to as a customer success...