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Cardano (ADA) Struggles After Yearly High—Levels to Watch as Year Ends

2 mins
Updated by Kyle Baird
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In Brief

  • The Cardano (ADA) price has increased swiftly since October. It broke out from two long-term horizontal resistances.
  • While the weekly time frame Relative Strength Index (RSI) and price action are bullish, the daily wave count is bearish.
  • Despite the bearish short-term ADA price prediction, a daily close above $0.68 will mean the rally extends further.
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The Cardano (ADA) price has fallen since reaching a new yearly high of $0.68 on December 14.

The decrease ended a streak of eight successive weekly bullish candlesticks. Should bulls be worried?

Cardano Increase Leads to New Yearly High

The technical analysis from the weekly time frame shows that the ADA price has increased swiftly since October (green icon).

During the increase, the price broke out from a long-term horizontal resistance area, which had been in place for 420 days. This led to a new ADA yearly high of $0.68 on December 14.

However, the price created a bearish candlestick last week, characterized by a long upper wick (red icon). The ADA price has fallen slightly since.

Cardano (ADA) Price Movement
ADA/USDT Weekly Chart. Source: TradingView

Market traders use the RSI as a momentum indicator to identify overbought or oversold conditions and to decide whether to accumulate or sell an asset.

Readings above 50 and an upward trend indicate that bulls still have an advantage, whereas readings below 50 suggest the opposite.

Despite the slight ADA price decrease, the RSI is above and moving upwards, both signs of a bullish trend.

Cardano (ADA) Price Prediction – Correction or Extension?

The technical analysis of the daily time frame indicates that the ADA price is expected to correct before resuming to new highs. This is because of the wave count and RSI readings.

Technical analysts employ the Elliott Wave theory as a means to identify recurring long-term price patterns and investor psychology, which helps them determine the direction of a trend.

Cryptocurrency trader Blue Crypto believes that the main resistance area is at $0.68. If the price breaks it, it can quickly increase to the next resistance at $0.90.

However, the most likely count suggests that ADA will not break out above the $0.68 resistance. Rather, it has begun wave four in a five-wave upward movement (black). The sub-wave count is in white.

If the count is correct, then ADA will fall by 18% and reach the 0.382 Fib retracement support level at $0.50.

The daily RSI supports this scenario since it has generated a bearish divergence (green line).

ADA Price Prediction
ADA?USDT Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

Despite this bearish ADA price prediction, moving above $0.68 would mean wave three will extend. If so, the ADA price could potentially increase by 40% to the next resistance at $0.88.

How to Stake Cardano – A Complete Guide for Beginners. Source: YouTube

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst. (I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)
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