This Ethereum (ETH) Signal Previously Led to a 100% Increase—Will History Repeat?

2 mins
Updated by Kyle Baird
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In Brief

  • Ethereum's (ETH) price has fallen slightly since reaching a new yearly high of $2,403 on December 8.
  • The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has nearly given a bullish signal that led to a 100% increase.
  • Despite the bullish ETH price prediction, a close below $2,000 will invalidate the ETH price breakout.
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The Ethereum (ETH) price has underperformed several major cryptocurrencies this year, only increasing by 90%.

The price still broke out above a critical resistance area in December. Can this be the start of a significant rally?

Ethereum Moves Above 550-Day Resistance

The Ethereum price has increased alongside an ascending support trend line since May. The trend line was recently validated in October (green icon).

The rally accelerated after the bounce, leading to a new yearly high of $2,403 on December 8. The ETH increase was also important since it caused a breakout from a 550-day horizontal resistance area.

Moreover, the area had previously acted as support since April 2021 before turning to resistance in May 2022 (red icon).

Ethereum (ETH) Price Movement
ETH/USDT Weekly Chart. Source: TradingView

Cryptocurrency analyst and trader Pentoshi is bullish on Ethereum because of the upcoming ETF. He tweeted:

“We’ve been bull tweeting the $BTC etf since 25-28k Soon, we get to do this all again with the $ETH ETF in 2024 No matter what you believe, it’s all game theory. as the date approaches people will be less willing to sell, and others will feel the need to buy $2,7xx and 3.4k on the table.”

Ethereum (ETH) Price Movement
ETH/USDT Daily Chart. Source: X

Well-known analyst Inmortal is also bullish, though he uses range trading to come to his conclusion.

ETH Price Prediction: Indicator Predicts Rapid Increase

With the RSI as a momentum indicator, traders can determine whether a market is overbought or oversold and decide whether to accumulate or sell an asset.

Bulls have an advantage if the RSI reading is above 50 and the trend is upward, but if the reading is below 50, the opposite is true.

The RSI is increasing and above 50, both bullish signs. 

More importantly, the indicator has nearly crossed into overbought territory. It did this three times in the previous cycle (green). Each led to a significant upward movement, ranging from 105% to 340%.

In the current movement, the closest resistance area at $3,400 is 55% above the current Ethereum price, while the all-time high is 105% above it. 

Ethereum (ETH) RSI Movement
ETH/USDT Weekly Chart. Source: TradingView

Despite the bullish ETH price prediction, a close below the $2,000 horizontal area could trigger a 25% decrease to the ascending support trend line at $1,650.

For BeInCrypto’s latest crypto market analysis, click here.

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In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst. (I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)
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