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Bitcoin’s Supply In Profit Is Nearing a 2-Month Low: Will BTC Drop to $110,000?

2 mins
Updated by Mohammad Shahid
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In Brief

  • Bitcoin's supply in profit drops to a 41-day low of 91.71%, signaling decreased investor confidence.
  • The long/short ratio shifts to bearish territory, indicating a drop in bullish sentiment among leveraged traders.
  • Bitcoin faces potential price corrections, with key support around $110,000 and resistance near $120,000.
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Bitcoin has struggled to maintain its upward momentum since reaching a new all-time high of $122,054 on July 14. At press time, the leading cryptocurrency trades around the $113,000 price level, marking a nearly 7.4% decline over the past 19 days.

Due to this pullback, the percentage of BTC’s supply in profit has declined, signaling waning investor confidence. As the new trading month runs its course, this trend could be a precursor to steeper price corrections.

Bitcoin’s Profitability Falls to 41-Day Low

According to Glassnode, BTC’s Percent Supply in Profit fell to a 41-day low of 91.71% on August 1. This metric measures the percentage of BTC’s circulating supply currently held at a profit. It measures market sentiment, often peaking during euphoric rallies and falling as investor confidence wanes.

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BTC Percent Supply in Profit.
BTC Percent Supply in Profit. Source: Glassnode

When this metric falls, a growing portion of holders is either breaking even or recording losses. These market conditions historically coincide with periods of market consolidation or potential price corrections. 

The recent decline to 91.71% suggests that the broader market is cooling off after weeks of upward price action. It reflects a shift in sentiment, as fewer holders remain comfortably in profit.

This could dampen short-term buying pressure and leave BTC at risk of a further dip over the next few trading sessions. 

Bitcoin Faces Key Test as Futures Traders Flip Bearish

BTC’s long/short ratio has tilted toward bearish territory, confirming that the bullish conviction among leveraged traders might also be fading. At press time, this stands below one at 0.96.

BTC Long/Short Ratio.
BTC Long/Short Ratio. Source: Coinglass

The long/short metric measures the proportion of long bets to short ones in an asset’s futures market. A ratio above one signals more long positions than short ones. This indicates a bullish sentiment, as most traders expect the asset’s value to rise.

On the other hand, a long/short ratio below 1 means that more traders are betting on the asset’s price to decline than those expecting it to rise. 

With fewer traders willing to bet aggressively on continued upside, BTC may find it difficult to regain momentum unless fresh catalysts emerge.

Bitcoin’s Next Move: Breakdown to $111,855 or Breakout Above $120,000?

Bitcoin’s daily trading volume has dropped from its July peaks, signaling reduced market participation. If profit-taking strengthens, the king coin could potentially decline toward $111,855.

BTC Price Analysis.
BTC Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if new demand enters the market, the coin’s price could regain strength and climb toward $116,952. A breach of this resistance is key before the coin can rally back above $120,000.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a Technical and On-Chain Analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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