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Why Bitcoin (BTC) Price Could Hit $33,000 During the Next Rally

3 mins
Updated by Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • On July 13, Bitcoin (BTC) price reached a new 2023 peak of $31,800 before a profit-taking wave triggered a retracement below $30,000. 
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI) data indicates that Bitcoin (BTC) has now crossed the oversold territory. 
  • On-chain data shows that Long-term investors are HODLing firm amid unprecedented interest from institutional investors.
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Bitcoin (BTC) price reached a new 2023 peak of $31,800 on July 13. However, a profit-taking wave has triggered yet another retracement below $30,000. With BTC now oversold, how high can it rebound during the next Bitcoin price rally? 

Despite the choppy price action in recent weeks, long-term investors have continued to double down on their bullish Bitcoin positions. What are the chances that BTC will hit $33,000 during the next rally? 

Bitcoin is Approaching the Oversold Territory

According to the Relative Strength Index data, the Bitcoin price retracement could soon grind to a halt. After over a week of sideways price movement, Bitcoin is approaching the oversold territory. As shown below, Bitcoin’s daily RSI currently sits at 41. This means that it is now closer to the oversold mark at 30 than the 70 overbought territory. 

Next Bitcoin (BTC) Price Rally | Relative Strength Index (RSI), July 2023
Next Bitcoin (BTC) Price Rally | Relative Strength Index (RSI), July 2023. Source: CryptoPurview

The Relative Strength Index evaluates the strength and momentum of a price trend. When the RSI swings closer to 30 than 70, it suggests the underlying asset could soon become oversold and be due for a major price rebound. 

Hence, strategic investors may interpret this as a signal to take bullish positions on BTC ahead of the next price rally. 

Long-term Bitcoin Holders Maintain Bullish Stance Ahead of the Next Rally 

In confirmation of this bullish projection, Santiments on-chain data reveals that long-term BTC investors are HODLIng firm despite recent price correction. 

As shown below, the BTC Mean Coin Age data has continued to trend upward over the last two weeks. Specifically, between July 8 and July 24, it has grown by 2% from 2,631.06 to 2,685.02. 

Next Bitcoin (BTC) Price Rally | Mean Coin Age, July 2023
Next Bitcoin (BTC) Price Rally | Mean Coin Age, July 2023. Source: Santiment

Mean Coin Age evaluates changes in the average duration that investors hold on to their tokens. It is derived by dividing the number of days each coin has spent in its current wallet addresses by the total number of coins in circulation.

This steady rise in Bitcoin Mean Coin Age indicates that long-term investors have maintained a bullish disposition ahead of the next price rally. 

Considering the gradual progress made by various institutional firms applying for Spot Bitcoin ETF approval, the Mean Coin Age growth could be an early signal of a stronger momentum to propel BTC over the $33,000 resistance level. 

BTC Price Prediction: The $28,000 Support Level To the Rescue

The above-mentioned factors indicate that BTC would likely find support around the $28,000 level. At that territory, 720,000 investors had purchased 573,440 BTC at an average price of $28,500.

To cover their long positions, they could accumulate more Bitcoin and inadvertently trigger a price rebound. 

Although unlikely, BTC could retrace toward $27,500 if that support level gives way. 

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction | IOMAP data, July 2023
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction | IOMAP data, July 2023, Source: IntoTheBlock

Conversely, Bitcoin could hit $33,000 during the next price rally if the bullish prediction is actualized. However, 2.66 million holders had bought 1.02 million Bitcoin at an average price of $30,300. If they look to book profits, it could significantly slow the rally. 

Nevertheless, BTC will likely head toward $33,000 if the bullish momentum grows as predicted.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Ibrahim Ajibade
Ibrahim Ajibade Ademolawa is an experienced On-chain research analyst who began his career in Commercial Banking. He has worked with several Web3 startups and financial institutions —analyzing technical concepts and spectacular events that link the DeFi and TradFi worlds. He holds a Bachelors’ Degree in Economics and is currently pursuing an MSc. in Blockchain & Distributed Ledger Technologies.
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