Bitcoin (BTC) Heads Lower After Losing $47,000 Support

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In Brief
  • Bitcoin has broken down from a long-term ascending support line.

  • Weekly and daily indicators have turned bearish.

  • BTC is in wave C of an A-B-C corrective structure.

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Bitcoin (BTC) increased slightly during the week of Sept 13-20. It opened at $46,025 and reached a close of $47,241.

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However, it has lost the $47,000 minor support area since then and seems to be in wave C of a corrective structure.

Long-term BTC movement

BTC increased slightly last week, creating a small bullish candlestick. 

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However, the weekly chart readings are still leaning on bearish. This is mostly because of the breakdown from the long-term ascending support line and its subsequent validation as resistance (red icon). This also coincided with a rejection from the bearish Supertrend line. 

However, the MACD and RSI are both providing some bullish signals. The MACD is positive and its histogram has given a bullish reversal signal. The RSI has also just moved above 50.

Therefore, even though the long-term trend is leaning bearish, a look at lower time-frames is required in order to more accurately determine the direction of the trend.

BTC loses support

The daily chart also provides a bearish outlook. While BTC is still trading above the $44,000 horizontal support area, technical indicators are firmly bearish.

The RSI has fallen back below 50 after initially deviating above the line. Also, the MACD is decreasing and has nearly reached the negative territory. The weekly Supertrend line is bearish.

The six-hour chart shows that BTC has fallen below the minor $47,000 support area. It did so with a significant bearish candlestick, so it is a sign that the short-term trend has also turned bearish. 

Also, the RSI and MACD are both bearish. The former has fallen below 50 while the latter is negative.

Wave count

The short-term wave count shows that BTC has completed an A-B-C corrective structure (black). 

It moved slightly above the 0.5 Fib retracement level (white) and the 1:1 length of waves A:C before falling sharply.

In the longer-term count, the previous structure completes a longer-term B wave (orange). 

Therefore, the current decrease is a part of wave C. 

The two most likely targets for the bottom of the movement are found at $42,630 and $38,350-$38,750. The latter range is the 0.618 Fib retracement support level (white) and gives waves A:C a 1:1 ratio. Therefore, it is more likely to act as the bottom.

For BeInCrypto’s previous Bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here.

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.
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Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona graduate school of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst.

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