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Here’s Why Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Price Could Decline to $400

2 mins
Updated by Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • Bitcoin Cash (BCH) price is attempting to breach the 2024 high of $501 at the moment.
  • Whales have been selling for a while now, with more than $25 million sold in the past week, signaling a correction is due.
  • The MVRV ratio is in the danger zone, where investors attempt to book profits, resulting in a decline.
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Bitcoin Cash (BCH) price is making another attempt at breaching the year-to-date high, although, by the looks of it, this may not happen.

Multiple reasons are contributing to the bearish anticipation, but this could be turned around if BCH flips a crucial level into support.

Bitcoin Cash Whales Signal Drawdown

Bitcoin Cash price will potentially bear the impact of the bearishness exhibited by the whales. These large wallet investors tend to sway the direction of the price action. Historically, their selling has induced corrections, while accumulation has resulted in rallies.

This time around, the outcome is expected to be bearish since the addresses hodling between 1,000 to 10,000 BCH have been consistently selling since March began. Nearly 50,000 BCH worth over $25 million were sold in the last week alone.

Bitcoin Cash Whale Accumulation.
Bitcoin Cash Whale Accumulation. Source: Santiment

However, since the price kept going upward, the altcoin is now due for a correction.

Read More: Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

As a matter of fact, even retail investors are going to sell their holdings now. The Market Value signals this to the Realized Value (MVRV) ratio. The MVRV ratio measures investors’ profit/loss.

Bitcoin Cash’s 30-day MVRV at 10% signals profit, potentially prompting selling. Historically, BCH corrections have occurred when the indicator is between 7%-17% MVRV, labeled a danger zone.

Bitcoin Cash MVRV Ratio.
Bitcoin Cash MVRV Ratio. Source: Santiment

Thus, BCH is vulnerable to corrections due to selling, which could occur at any time.

BCH Price Prediction: What to Expect?

If selling begins, Bitcoin Cash price will likely fail in testing the $501 resistance as support, even if it does manage to breach it. A decline to $448 will result in BCH losing the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

Falling through this support will result in a drop to $400 or $378, which marks the confluence of the 100-day EMA.

BCH/USDT 1-day chart.
BCH/USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

Read More: How To Buy Bitcoin Cash (BCH) and Everything You Need To Know

However, the altcoin could invalidate the bearish thesis if the breach and testing of $501 as support be successful. BCH would then be open to rising towards $520.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Aaryamann Shrivastava
Aaryamann Shrivastava is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including Telegram Apps, liquid staking, Layer 1s, meme coins, artificial intelligence (AI), metaverse, internet of things (IoT), Ethereum ecosystem, and Bitcoin. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at FXStreet and AMBCrypto, covering all aspects of the crypto industry, including...
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