A Rally to $9,000 Doesn’t Change Current Bitcoin Bear Market, Says Analyst

After the first half of the year saw a rally that took prices to near $14,000, Bitcoin been setting a series of lower highs in recent months. This, according to widely accepted market analysis, is a defining characteristic of a bear market.

Bitcoin and Higher Highs

As Twitter cryptocurrency analyst MAGIC (@MagicPoopCannon) highlights, it will take Bitcoin setting a higher high to invert the current trend. The last major high, at around $9,600, was set on October 27, which coincided with the news that the Chinese government was supportive of blockchain use and development.

If we see a rally, understand that BTC remains in a BEAR MARKET DOWNTREND. Bear markets have rallies too, and BTC is in a technical bear market right now. Until we see some higher highs and higher lows, the trend is bearish and down, even if we see a rally to 9000.

— MAGIC (@MagicPoopCannon) December 13, 2019

Optimism about the news’s potential impact on the Bitcoin and cryptocurrency industry was short-lived. In subsequent weeks, BeInCrypto reported on the nation’s government shutting down companies, as well as the social media accounts of prominent cryptocurrency industry personalities disappearing. Similarly, Bakkt, the future platform that was surrounded by so much hype prior to launch, looks to be just another way for accredited investors to speculate on the Bitcoin market without actually holding the asset itself. Most of the ever-increasing trade volume at the platform turns out to be in its cash-settled monthly futures market rather than its daily, physically-settled contracts. In terms of bullish news, the end of 2019 has been pretty barren, leaving the market to guess if the worst is over or not.

Predicting a Further Downside

For MAGIC, at least, any upside short of a move above the previous high is nothing but a short-term rally within a larger bear market. The analyst, therefore, predicts further downside.

If we see a rally, understand that BTC remains in a BEAR MARKET DOWNTREND. Bear markets have rallies too, and BTC is in a technical bear market right now. Until we see some higher highs and higher lows, the trend is bearish and down, even if we see a rally to 9000.

— MAGIC (@MagicPoopCannon) December 13, 2019

Although MAGIC’s outlook appears pretty gloomy, BeInCrypto recently reported on the work of other analysts that predict an ultimate bottom, lower than the sub-$6,700 price briefly visited late last month, is close. Meanwhile, other indicators suggest that the November plunge below $7,000 was the ultimate low of this bearish phase and the price will start to rise going into the year of the halving.

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Images are courtesy of Twitter, Shutterstock.