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Momentum Indicators Under Spotlight as XRP Trades in Tight Range

3 mins
Updated by Daria Krasnova
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In Brief

  • XRP’s golden cross signals potential upside, but declining whale activity weighs on bullish momentum.
  • Positive CMF highlights net buying pressure, though recent cooling suggests waning investor confidence.
  • XRP trades between $2.33 support and $2.53 resistance, with a 19.6% downside or 10.6% upside depending on breakout direction.
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XRP price has remained in consolidation over the past month, with a modest growth of just 2.2% in the last 30 days. Despite forming a golden cross earlier this month, signaling potential bullish momentum, whale activity suggests a lack of accumulation, which could weigh on further price gains.

XRP’s Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) remains positive, highlighting ongoing buying pressure, but the indicator has slightly cooled from its recent peak. These factors suggest that XRP’s next moves will heavily depend on whether it breaks above its $2.53 resistance or succumbs to bearish pressures near its $2.33 support.

XRP Whales Pause Accumulation

The number of XRP whales holding between 10 million and 100 million XRP has dropped to 296, the lowest level since December 24. After peaking at 301 on December 25, the number of these large holders began a steady decline.

This marks a significant shift in whale activity, as their numbers had previously reached a month-high of 305 on December 7, coinciding with XRP price exceeding $2.50.

Wallets holding between 10 million and 100 million XRP.
Wallets holding between 10 million and 100 million XRP. Source: Santiment.

Tracking whale activity is crucial because these large holders can significantly influence the market. Their accumulation typically signals confidence in a coin and can drive prices higher, while a reduction in their numbers often indicates selling pressure or reduced interest.

The recent decline in whale numbers suggests a bearish sentiment among major investors, which could weigh on XRP price in the short term. Unless whale activity stabilizes or reverses toward accumulation, XRP may struggle to regain upward momentum.

XRP CMF Reached Its Highest Level in a Month

XRP Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is currently at 0.28, maintaining a positive position since January 1, when it was near 0. The CMF has shown an upward trend in the new year, signaling increasing capital inflows as buying pressure outweighs selling pressure.

This positive CMF reflects growing investor confidence and suggests that XRP is attracting interest from market participants.

XRP CMF.
XRP CMF. Source: TradingView

The CMF is a momentum indicator that measures the flow of money into and out of an asset based on price and volume. Values above 0 indicate net buying pressure, while values below 0 suggest net selling pressure. Although XRP CMF peaked at 0.33 a few hours ago and has since declined slightly to 0.28, it remains in positive territory.

This suggests that while buying momentum may have cooled slightly, the overall trend remains supportive of further price stability or moderate gains in the short term, provided the CMF does not continue to decline.

XRP Price Prediction: A Potential 19.6% Correction

XRP price is currently trading in a tight range, between $2.53 resistance and $2.33 support. The formation of a golden cross on January 1 fueled the recent price surge, signaling strong bullish momentum.

However, indicators like declining whale accumulation and a slight dip in the CMF suggest that the current uptrend may be losing strength.

XRP Price Analysis.
XRP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

If the support at $2.33 fails to hold, XRP price could face increased selling pressure, leading to a decline toward $2.13. A break below this level could push the price further down to $1.96, marking a potential 19.6% correction.

Conversely, if the uptrend regains traction and XRP price breaks above the $2.53 resistance, it could target $2.72 next, offering a potential 10.6% upside.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Tiago Amaral
Marketing professional turned coder, passionate about code, data, crypto, and writing. I hold a Marketing and Advertising degree and a Disruptive Strategy certification from Harvard Business School. I love querying blockchain data and discovering insights hidden in data.
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