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Can Polygon (MATIC) Price Recover After 17% Weekly Drop?

2 mins
Updated by Ryan James
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In Brief

  • The Polygon (MATIC) price has moved downward over the past two months.
  • The RSI and price action both support the continuation of the decrease.
  • Reclaiming the $1.04 support area will invalidate the bearish forecast.
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The Polygon (MATIC) price has fallen since February and has reached the support line of a long-term pattern, which has contained the price movement since June 2022.

Since this is a long-term pattern, the price mustn’t break down for the long-term upward movement to remain intact. However, with the bearish indicator readings in place, will MATIC be able to bounce?

Polygon Price Falters Toward Support

The technical analysis from the long-term weekly time frame gives a bearish outlook for MATIC, the native token of the Polygon network. There are several reasons for this. Firstly, the price is trading inside an ascending parallel channel.

This is a type of pattern in which the price bounces between two parallel resistance and support lines. It is considered a bearish pattern, meaning that an eventual breakdown from it would be the most likely outlook. The fact that the price trades in the lower portion of the channel.

Polygon (MATIC) Price Long-Term Movement
MATIC/USDT Weekly Chart. Source: TradingView

Secondly, the weekly Relative Strength index (RSI) gives a bearish reading. By using the RSI as a momentum indicator, traders can determine whether a market is overbought or oversold and decide whether to accumulate or sell an asset. If the RSI reading is above 50 and the trend is upward, bulls have an advantage, but if the reading is below 50, the opposite is true. In the case of MATIC, the RSI broke down from its trendline (green line) and decreased below 50. Both these bearish signs support the continuation of the decrease.

If the MATIC price breaks down from the channel, the next closest support area would be $0.43. On the other hand, if it bounces at the channel’s support line, an increase toward the midline at $1.40 will be the most likely scenario.

Polygon (MATIC) Price Prediction: Is a Breakdown Imminent?

The daily time frame outlook aligns with the weekly one. It shows that the MATIC price broke down from a shorter-term ascending support line, which has been in place since the beginning of the year. When a line measures the slope of increase for a certain period of time, a breakdown from it means that the preceding trend is now over. In the case of MATIC, that trend was bullish.

Additionally, the price fell below the $1.04 horizontal support area, further legitimizing the breakdown. The area had intermittently acted as both resistance and support. As a result, the breakdown from it is a strong bearish sign. 

Finally, the daily RSI is below 50 (red icon) and decreasing. Therefore, the signs from both the weekly and daily time frames support the continuing decrease toward $0.43. 

Polygon (MATIC) Price Prediction
MATIC/USDT Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

Despite the bearish MATIC price prediction, reclaiming the $1.04 area will mean that at least a short-term increase is on the cards. In that case, the MATIC token could move to $1.20.

For BeInCrypto’s latest crypto market analysis, click here.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst. (I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)
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