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Ripple (XRP) Supply on Exchanges Falls to Yearly Low: Price Impact

2 mins
Updated by Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • The amount of Ripple held on cryptocurrency exchanges has dropped to 2.84 million XRP, the lowest since January 1.
  • Despite low exchange holdings, XRP's price has declined by 12% in the last month, revisiting its year-to-date low of $0.46 twice in June.
  • It may fall to $0.42 if sentiment remains bearish.
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The number of Ripple (XRP) tokens held across cryptocurrency exchanges totals 2.84 million XRP, which is valued at $1.34 million at current market prices. 

This represents the lowest amount of XRP tokens held on exchanges since the beginning of the year

Ripple Records Low Sell-offs

At press time, the token’s supply on exchanges was 2.84 million XRP, the lowest level since January 1. When an asset’s supply on exchanges drops, its total amount held on cryptocurrency exchanges decreases. 

Ripple Supply on Exchanges. Source: Santiment
Ripple Supply on Exchanges. Source: Santiment

This may be due to investors holding their tokens in a hardware wallet, staking on decentralized finance platforms (DeFi), or generally refraining from selling their holdings in expectation of a future price rally.

However, XRP’s recent price action has not shown any potential for a significant rebound in the near term. As of this writing, XRP trades at $0.47. In the last month, the altcoin’s value has plummeted by 12%. 

Read More: Everything You Need To Know About Ripple vs SEC 

For context, the altcoin revisited its year-to-date low of $0.46 on June 24, marking its second time this month alone. 

The consistent decline in XRP’s value is partly attributable to how much losses its holders have incurred recently. For example, its daily ratio of transaction volume in profit to loss (assessed using a 30-day moving average) is 0.88 at press time.

Ripple Ratio of Daily On-Chain Transaction Volume in Profit to Loss. Source: Santiment
Ripple Ratio of Daily On-Chain Transaction Volume in Profit to Loss. Source: Santiment

This means that for every XRP transaction ending in a loss, only 0.88 transactions return a profit

XRP Price Prediction: The Bears Are in Control

Readings from XRP’s price performance on a daily chart show the decline in the demand for the altcoin. For example, its Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), which measures money flow into and out of its market, is currently 0.06.

A negative CMF value is a sign of market weakness. It is a bearish signal that suggests liquidity exit from the market. Traders often interpret it as a signal of a further decline in an asset’s value.

XRP’s Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) setup confirms the bearish sentiment. As of this writing, the token’s MACD line (blue) rests under the signal (orange) and zero lines.

Ripple Analysis. Source: TradingView
Ripple Analysis. Source: TradingView

The indicator identifies changes in an asset’s strength, price direction, and momentum. When the MACD line falls under the signal line, it is a bearish signal, which suggests that selling pressure is more significant than buying activity.

If the demand for XRP continues to plummet, its price will fall to $0.42.

Read More: Ripple (XRP) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Ripple Analysis.
Ripple Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if sentiment shifts from bearish to bullish, the token’s price will rise to $0.49.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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