LINK Breaks Out, Creates Higher Low – Where to Next?

While the price is expected to continue moving upwards towards $11, the reaction to the level will be crucial in determining the longer-term trend.

LINK Closes in on Resistance Line

The LINK price has been decreasing following a descending resistance line since Aug 17, when the price reached a high of $20.71. The decrease continued until Sept. 23, where LINK reached a local low of $7.28 and bounced. The next day, the price created a bullish engulfing candlestick. This movement validated the 200-day moving average (MA) and the $7.50 area as support. Even though the price has been increasing since then, it has been rejected by the $11 area, which previously acted as support and has now turned resistance. Furthermore, the price has yet to reach the aforementioned descending resistance line drawn since the Aug 17 high.

Technical Indicators Show Indecision

In the daily time-frame, technical indicators are neutral, leaning on bullish. The MACD is increasing but has not yet turned positive, the Stochastic Oscillator has just made a bullish cross, but the RSI is below 50. Therefore, we cannot confirm whether the price will break out or down.

The shorter-term two-hour chart shows similar indecision. On one hand, the price has bounced at the 0.618 FIb level of the entire increase, creating a higher low and allowing for the possibility of upwards continuation. On the other, LINK looks to be getting rejected by the minor $9.60 resistance area and the MACD has begun to lose steam.

Wave Count

Cryptocurrency trader @CryptoTony_ outlined a LINK chart, stating that LINK is likely on track to increase towards $12.

Since the decrease began after the high of Aug 17, LINK seems to have completed a bearish impulse pattern that took the form of a leading diagonal (shown in black below). This could have been wave A of an A-B-C correction (in orange below), which would eventually lead to another lower low. After completing the impulse, LINK broke out from the descending wedge on Sept 24 and is now increasing. A customary correction would take the price back the 0.618 Fib level, found at $15.17 before resuming its downward movement.

A closer look at the correction shows an A-B-C formation, in which waves A and B might have already been completed. If so, an A:C ratio of 1:1.61 would take LINK right to the $15.10 area. A decrease below the $8.78 low would invalidate this particular wave count.

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