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How Bitcoin Open Interest Could Lead to a Big Correction

2 mins
Updated by Kyle Baird
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Bitcoin has continued climbing today, nearly reaching a three-month high. Indicators such as open interest, however, are signaling that a correction may be imminent.
A few hours ago Bitcoin made another sustained move higher to knock on $9,400, its highest price since early November. The move added 5% to BTC prices lifting it for the fourth day this week.
bitcoin price
BTC price 1-hour chart – Tradingview.com
A golden cross is looking to take place on the daily chart within a week. This bullish trend reversal signal happens when a faster 50-day moving average crosses above the slower 200-day MA. The last time this occurred was in April 2019, just before the big rally to $13,800.

Bitcoin Open Interest Approaching $1 Billion

Things are not all bullish yet though, as some signals are flashing for a pullback. Open Interest (OI) is the total number of outstanding derivative contracts, such as options or futures, that have not been settled for the asset. OI on BitMEX is currently approaching $1 billion where it has historically been rejected. Other analysts and have also observed these levels and are calling for a correction. A correction here would drop the asset back into the mid-$8k level but it could go even further. Some cryptocurrency traders are still considering a 40% pullback which could dump as low as the mid-$5k range but this too seems unlikely the longer it holds at these levels. Popular cryptocurrency trader and analyst Josh Rager pointed out;

Why So Much Bearishness?

So far this year, which is just a month old, Bitcoin has made close to 30%. This makes it one of the best performing Januarys in its ten-year history. Gains have been primarily due to wider global events such as geopolitical tension in the Middle East, pressure on stock markets and fiat as a result of the China Coronavirus outbreak, and general FOMO as the halving approaches. Any correction that does occur is only likely to be a small dip before the upward momentum resumes.
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Martin Young
Martin Young is a seasoned cryptocurrency journalist and editor with over 7 years of experience covering the latest news and trends in the digital asset space. He is passionate about making complex blockchain, fintech, and macroeconomics concepts understandable for mainstream audiences.   Martin has been featured in top finance, technology, and crypto publications including BeInCrypto, CoinTelegraph, NewsBTC, FX Empire, and Asia Times. His articles provide an in-depth analysis of...
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