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Ethereum (ETH) Price Regains Footing After $3,000 Scare — What Lies Ahead

2 mins
Updated by Daria Krasnova
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In Brief

  • Ethereum's 30-day MVRV ratio remains at a point far below potential market top, suggesting more upside.
  • Previously dormant coins are also involved in transactions, reinforcing the bullish thesis around Ethereum.
  • Analysis shows that ETH could rally toward $4,000, but could decline to $3,000 if selling pressure increases.
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Recently, Ethereum (ETH) showed signs of falling below $3,000 but held firm as bulls defended the altcoin.

Now trading at $3,480, here’s what could be next for ETH.

Ethereum Still Has More Room to Grow

One metric that has consistently proven reliable for analyzing Ethereum is the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, a tool for assessing the profitability of holders and identifying potential market tops or bottoms. The MVRV ratio compares a cryptocurrency’s market value to its realized value, offering insights into whether the asset is overvalued or undervalued.

When the MVRV ratio rises, it indicates that more holders are in profit. However, if it climbs to an extreme high, it suggests the asset may be overvalued, increasing the risk of a price correction. Conversely, when the MVRV ratio declines, it points to reduced profitability.

If the ratio hits an extreme low, it signals undervaluation, which can present an attractive accumulation opportunity for investors. For ETH, the 30-day MVRV ratio has risen to 11.89%. However, it remains below the typical local top range of 18% to 22%. This indicates that Ethereum still has room for further growth.

Ethereum MVRV ratio
Ethereum 30-Day MVRV Ratio. Source: Santiment

Beyond the MVRV ratio, the Mean Dollar Invested Age (MDIA) also suggests that Ethereum may avoid a further price drop. MDIA measures the average age of all coins on a blockchain, weighted by their purchase price.

A rising MDIA indicates that coins are becoming more stagnant, reducing the likelihood of a significant price surge.

Conversely, a declining MDIA suggests that previously dormant coins are moving, signaling increased trading activity, which is the case with ETH. If this trend persists, it could boost Ethereum’s chances of a price rally.

Ethereum price analysis
Ethereum 90-Day MDIA. Source: Santiment

ETH Price Prediction: $4,000 Could Be Coming

On the daily chart, Ethereum’s price has formed an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. This pattern typically emerges after a prolonged downtrend, signaling a potential sellers’ exhaustion point.

The pattern comprises three key parts: the left shoulder, which marks the first uptrend; the head, signaling the end of the downtrend; and the right shoulder, indicating the rebound.

Ethereum price analysis
Ethereum 4-Hour Analysis. Source: TradingView

With ETH trending in an uptrend, the cryptocurrency is likely to rise toward $4,000 in the short term. On the other hand, if selling pressure rises, this might change, and ETH could decline to $3,206.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Victor Olanrewaju
Victor Olanrewaju is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he monitors the activities of mid- and large-scale investors, commonly known as crypto whales, to detect investment trends across diverse cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, altcoins such as Solana, XRP, Cardano, and Toncoin, as well as meme coins like Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe. Additionally, he covers emerging trends including Tap-to-Earn games, AI tokens, and real-world assets (RWA). Before joining BeInCrypto...
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