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Ethereum (ETH) Miner Balance Hits Four-Year High Ahead of Merge

2 mins
Updated by Geraint Price
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In Brief

  • ETH has broken out from a descending resistance line.
  • It could be in wave five of a five-wave upward movement.
  • ETH miners are stacking in anticipation of the merge.
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Ethereum (ETH) has been increasing at a much faster rate than Bitcoin (BTC) and is up by more than 50% since the June lows.

ETH had been decreasing underneath a descending resistance line since Dec 2021. The downward movement led to a low of ₿0.049 in June. 

However, the price has increased sharply since and managed to break out from the line in the end of July, proceeding to reach a high of ₿0.081 in Aug. 

Despite this sharp increase, the daily RSI is showing signs of weakness, since it has broken down from an ascending support line. 

So, it is possible that it will return to the 0.382 Fib retracement support level at ₿0.069, validating the resistance line as support, before resuming its upward movement.

daily movement
ETH/BTC Chart By TradingView

Future ETH/BTC movement

The weekly chart is more decisively bullish. The main reason for this is that the weekly RSI has broken out from its descending resistance line and then moved above 50 in the process. This is considered a sign of a long-term bullish trend.

As for the wave count, it seems that the price has completed a fourth-wave pullback, by bouncing at the resistance line of the previous channel.

If the upward movement continues, the main targets for the top of the movement would be between ₿0.11 and ₿0.121. The targets are created by the 1.61 external Fib retracement of wave four (black) and the length of waves one and three (white).

ETH Wave count
ETH/BTC Chart By TradingView

For ETH/USD analysis, click here.

Ethereum miners continue stacking

In anticipation of the upcoming merge on Sept 15, Ethereum miners have been adding to their positions since May 2021. If we exclude the accounts which hold less than <0.1 ETH (orange), the balance of other miners (blue) is at an all-time high. 

Miner balance
Chart By Santiment

However, miner revenue is very close to a new all-time low. The only time it was lower than this was in Jan 2020.

The combination of these two charts shows an extremely strong conviction of Ethereum miners, since they are adding to their balance despite near all-time low revenues in fees.

ETH Miner revenue
Chart By Glassnode

For Be[in]Crypto’s latest Bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst. (I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)
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