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$5 Billion in Ethereum ETFs Inflows Could Propel Prices Above $4,000

3 mins
Updated by Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • Ethereum spot ETFs are expected to attract $3-5 billion in net inflows within the first six months.
  • This projection is based on the success of Bitcoin spot ETFs, which saw $13 billion in net inflows in a similar period.
  • Ethereum’s price may decline further if demand continues to drop.
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Eight fund issuers are currently waiting for the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to give its final approval for them to list and launch exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that will track the spot price of Ethereum (ETH).

There have been speculations on how much capital inflows the launch of these products would bring into cryptocurrency funds

Ethereum Spot ETFs Will See up to $5 Billion of Inflows

In a new report, cryptocurrency exchange Gemini opined that these new funds could attract $3-5 billion in net inflows within just the first six months of trading. This positive outlook follows the successful launch of Bitcoin spot ETFs earlier this year. 

The projected net inflows could translate to a total of $13-15 billion in assets under management for spot Ethereum ETFs within the first six months of trading.

This mirrors projections from financial services provider Citi, previously reported by BeinCrypto. Citi noted that net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs surpassed $13 billion between their launch on January 4 and May 20. 

The bank stated that using similar market-cap-adjusted flows, the launch of spot Ether ETFs could attract between $3.8 billion and $4.5 billion within the same period and raise the coin’s price by 23-28%.

Read More: How to Invest in Ethereum ETFs?

According to Gemini, this inflow is achievable for many reasons, one of which is that Ether offers a good option for investors seeking diversification within the crypto space. This is due to its ever-growing network activity, measured by daily active addresses and transaction fees.

Speaking with BeinCrypto, Ryan Lee, Chief Analyst at Bitget Research, shared the same sentiments.

“Investment managers who don’t plan to go long on Ethereum ETFs might be making an uninformed decision. Ethereum is not just backed by robust initiatives: it is also a deflationary token, which suggests high future growth potential. Still, despite its attractiveness, I’d recommend a diversified portfolio allocation with a mix of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, with a slight weighting towards Bitcoin. Pending the launch, it might be wise to stay clear of intense volatility.” Lee Stated.

Also, the shift in the coin’s supply dynamics could make it even more attractive to investors. Following the change in Ethereum’s consensus mechanism from a Proof-of-Work (PoW) to a Proof-of-Stake network, there has been a steady decline in its total supply compared to Bitcoin.

“Net inflows below 20% or $3 billion would be a disappointment, given spot BTC ETFs had $15 billion net inflows in approximately the first six months. Net inflows exceeding $5 billion, or one-third of those into spot BTC ETFs, would be a strong showing, while anything close to 50% or $7.5 billion would be a significant upside surprise,” Gemini said.

ETH Price Prediction: Demand For the Altcoin Remains Low

At press time, ETH exchanged hands at $3,446. It has faced resistance at the $3600 price level since the middle of June, causing its price to drop by 9% in the last month.

Readings from its performance on a one-day chart show that the demand for ETH is still low. For example, its Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently lies below the 50-neutral spot at 47.38 at press time. 

Ethereum Analysis
Ethereum Analysis. Source: TradingView

This indicator measures an asset’s overbought and oversold market conditions. At its current value, ETH’s RSI shows a decline in buying momentum.

Read more: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

If this trend persists, the coin’s price may plummet to $3,407.

Ethereum Analysis. Source: TradingView
Ethereum Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if buying pressure gains, ETH’s value may rise to $3,515 and trend toward resistance.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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