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Cardano Is Vulnerable To Selling As Short-Term Holders’ Profits Hit 5-Month High

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In Brief

  • Cardano's (ADA) price faces downward pressure as short-term holders (STHs) realize profits, signaling a potential sell-off.
  • The MVRV Long/Short Difference has dropped to -18%, the lowest in five months, suggesting more selling activity from profitable STHs.
  • Cardano’s price struggles to break $0.63 resistance, and if market conditions worsen, it could fall to $0.57 support, prolonging the bearish trend.
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Cardano (ADA) has been struggling to maintain its price levels, with recent price action reflecting a lack of growth amid bearish market conditions.

As the market continues to face pressure, short-term holders (STHs) are becoming increasingly likely to sell their positions rather than hold on for a potential rebound.

Cardano Investors Close To Selling

The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Long/Short Difference for Cardano has dropped to -18%, marking a five-month low. This suggests that STHs are in a position to realize substantial profits, the highest since November 2024. 

This trend can be detrimental to Cardano’s price because STHs typically sell when they see profits, potentially triggering downward pressure. As these holders are currently sitting on gains, their selling actions are likely to exacerbate the ongoing bearish momentum.

The situation is made worse by the market’s current sentiment. This could further weaken Cardano’s ability to maintain its support levels and add to the volatility of ADA’s price.

Cardano MVRV Long/Short Difference
Cardano MVRV Long/Short Difference. Source: Santiment

Cardano’s broader market momentum shows additional signs of weakness. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator, which tracks the flow of money in and out of a cryptocurrency, has been in a steady decline since November 2024. 

Currently stuck below the zero line, this suggests that outflows are dominating inflows, signaling a lack of investor confidence. The CMF reflects cautious behavior from investors, as they are less inclined to enter the market given the ongoing bearish conditions. The absence of confidence in the market is pulling investors away from Cardano.

Cardano CMF
Cardano CMF. Source: TradingView

ADA Price May Witness Decline

Cardano’s price currently stands at $0.61, just below the critical resistance of $0.63. Despite attempts to recover, the altcoin has faced a nearly month-long decline, preventing any meaningful upward movement. Without a change in market conditions, Cardano will struggle to reclaim lost ground and break through the $0.63 resistance.

If market conditions continue to worsen, Cardano’s price could dip further, potentially heading toward the $0.57 support level. This decline would extend investors’ losses and make recovery even more difficult. As market sentiment remains largely negative, it seems unlikely that Cardano will breach $0.63 in the short term.

Cardano Price Analysis.
Cardano Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if broader market cues improve and investor confidence returns, Cardano could reverse its bearish trend. Successfully flipping the $0.63 resistance into support would invalidate the current bearish outlook and potentially push the price toward $0.70. A breach of this level would mark a significant shift in momentum.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Aaryamann Shrivastava
Aaryamann Shrivastava is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including Telegram Apps, liquid staking, Layer 1s, meme coins, artificial intelligence (AI), metaverse, internet of things (IoT), Ethereum ecosystem, and Bitcoin. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at FXStreet and AMBCrypto, covering all aspects of the crypto industry, including...
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