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Is Cardano (ADA) Looking at a 50% Collapse in Price?

2 mins
Updated by Geraint Price
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In Brief

  • ADA broke down from the $0.350 support area.
  • The bullish divergence in the weekly RSI is at risk of invalidation.
  • Cardano is trading inside a descending parallel channel.
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The Cardano (ADA) price broke down from a long-term horizontal support area at $0.350. The trend is considered bearish until the Cardano price reclaims the area.

ADA is the native cryptocurrency of the Cardano blockchain platform. It uses the proof-of-stake (POS) consensus mechanism and mainly deals with smart contracts and decentralized applications. Cardano was created by Charles Hoskinson.

The Cardano price fell below a descending resistance line since its all-time high of $3.107 in Aug. 2021. The downward movement led to a low of $0.295 in Nov. 2021.

Besides the descending resistance line, the ADA price drop also caused a breakdown from the $0.350 horizontal support area. Since the level had been in place since 2021, a breakdown below it is a significant occurrence. 

This is the final support level before $0.150, a nearly 50% drop from the current price.

The only bullish sign in place is the bullish divergence in the weekly RSI (green icon). However, that too risks being invalidated. 

As a result, the most likely Cardano price forecast is a fall toward the $0.150. Reclaiming the $0.350 area would invalidate this bearish ADA price projection. 

Cardano (ADA) Price Weekly
ADA/USDT Weekly Chart. Source: TradingView

Cardano Price Still Trading in Bullish Pattern

Despite the bearish outlook from the weekly time frame, the Cardano price is still trading inside a descending parallel channel in the daily one. The descending channel is considered a bullish pattern, meaning that an eventual breakout from it would be expected.

However, the presence of the channel is the only bullish sign. Moreover, the price action inside it is bearish. 

Firstly, the ADA price is trading very close to the channel’s support line. It has been in its lower portion since the beginning of Nov. 

Secondly, the daily RSI has broken down from its bullish divergence trend line (green). This is a sign that the bounce will not be sustained. 

As a result, a breakdown seems to be the most likely scenario.

A reclaim of the middle of the channel would invalidate this bearish Cardano price projection.

ADA Price Channel
ADA/USDT Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

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In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst. (I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)
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