BTCD Struggles to Regain Footing After Sharp Drop

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In Brief
  • BTCD is trading above support at 61-62% and resistance at 64.5%.

  • Technical indicators on the daily time-frame are bearish.

  • ETH/BTC has broken out from and retested the ฿0.0295 area.

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The Bitcoin Dominance Rate (BTCD) has been struggling to gain a footing since it dropped sharply on Nov. 21-24.



The rate is likely to break down from its short-term pattern and move towards the support levels outlined below.

BTCD Gets Rejected and Falls

BTCD reached a high of 67.45% on Nov. 20 but dropped sharply immediately afterward.



The decline was swift and BTCD reached a low of 60.80% on Nov. 24. The low coincided with the 0.618 Fib retracement level of the entire upward move and left a long lower wick in its wake before BTCD moved upwards.

Despite the rally, BTCD has failed to move above the 0.5 – 0.618 Fib resistance area between 64 – 65%, which is a common level for corrections to end.

If BTCD fails to clear the resistance area and falls, the closest support area would be at 57%.

BTCD Chart By TradingView

BTCD Future Movement

Technical indicators support the possibility of a continued decline.

The RSI is below 50, the MACD is decreasing and has almost crossed below 0, and the Stochastic Oscillator is moving downwards after previously making a bearish cross.

BTCD Chart By TradingView

Cryptocurrency trader @Daancrypto outlined a BTC dominance chart, stating that whether the rate breaks out above 63% or falls below 61% will crucially determine the direction of the future trend.

Both areas coincide with those we have outlined. Due to the bearish readings from indicators, a breakdown seems the more likely option.

Source: Twitter

Once BTCD breaks down from the current symmetrical triangle, the rate of decline is likely to accelerate.

On the other hand, a breakout would cause another retest of the 0.5 – 0.618 Fib resistance before a possible drop.

BTCD Chart By TradingView


Since Ethereum (ETH) is the largest altcoin ranked by market capitalization, the movement of the ETH/BTC pair is a good predictor of BTCD movements.

ETH/BTC has been moving upwards since it reached a low of ฿0.026 on Nov. 18.

The price has retested the ฿0.0295 area as support and is moving upwards towards the next resistance at ฿0.033. A breakout would take ETH/BTC towards ฿0.04.

Technical indicators on the daily time-frame are bullish and support the possibility of this breakout, which would also fit with the projected decline for BTCD.

ETH/BTC Chart By TradingView


To conclude, BTCD is likely to fall from the current resistance area and eventually drop towards 57%.

On the other hand, the ETH/BTC pair could break out soon and move towards the next resistance area at ฿0.034.

For BeInCrypto’s previous Bitcoin analysis, click here!

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency trading carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The views expressed in this article do not reflect those of BeInCrypto


All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.
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Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona graduate school of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst.

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