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Bitcoin Nears $40,000 as These Analysts and On-Chain Metrics Turn Bullish

2 mins
Updated by Bary Rahma
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In Brief

  • Bitcoin surged to a yearly high of $39,900 within 24 hours, sparked by market speculation and optimistic sentiments.
  • Analysts suggest a potential breach of $45,000 by year-end, attributing this bullish outlook to a potential ETF approval.
  • Data reveals that over 80% of BTC addresses are currently holding at a profit, marking the highest profitability in years.
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Bitcoin has broken out, reaching a yearly high of about $39,900. This surge has prompted market observers to suggest it might surpass the $40,000 mark very soon.

The recent price increase follows a speech by Jerome Powell, Chair of the United States Federal Reserve, hinting at continued restrictive rates until inflation aligns with their 2% target.

Is $40,000 Next for Bitcoin Price?

Post-Powell’s speech, Bitcoin touched a 19-month high, buoyed by market optimism and speculation regarding the Fed’s future direction. Some analysts, noting this uptrend, believe Bitcoin could breach the $40,000 mark and march toward $50,000.

Markus Thielen of Matrixport, in a note to investors, posited a 90% chance of Bitcoin reaching $45,000. He attributes this to market positivity and the potential approval of a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF).

“As we enter the last month of the year, we remain bullish. Historically, Bitcoin tends to rally by +12% in December, aligning with our early 2023 year-end target of $45,000 for Bitcoin, which now appears probable,” Thielen wrote.

Bitcoin Price Performance
Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: TradingView

In recent months, traditional financial institutions, like BlackRock, have sought a spot Bitcoin ETF from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This development, coupled with active engagement from the SEC, fuels expectations of an imminent Bitcoin ETF approval.

Read more: How To Prepare for a Bitcoin ETF: A Step-by-Step Approach

Notably, Grayscale is preparing for such approval by appointing John Hoffman, formerly of Invesco, to lead its Bitcoin ETF efforts. Concurrently, the discount on Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust to its net asset value has narrowed significantly, as per Coinglass data.

BTC On-Chain Indicators Turn Bullish

Further bolstering the bullish sentiment is on-chain data indicating a significant withdrawal of Bitcoin from exchanges. According to Glassnode, more than 37,000 BTC have been moved off exchanges since November 17.

This trend is generally seen as a bullish signal, suggesting a shift towards long-term holding and less selling pressure.

Bitcoin exchange balance
Bitcoin Balance on Exchanges. Source: Glassnode

Moreover, the recent price surge has brought Bitcoin holders to their most profitable levels since December 2021. Data provider IntoTheBlock notes that over 80% of Bitcoin addresses are now holding at a profit.

“Over 80% of Bitcoin addresses are currently holding at a profit. This is the highest value since December 2021, when prices were above $50,000 per Bitcoin,” IntoTheBlock said.

Bitcoin Addresses in Profit
Percentage of Bitcoin Holder Addresses in Profit. Source: IntoTheBlock

Since this data was collected, Bitcoin has seen further gains, suggesting an even higher percentage of profitable addresses.

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Oluwapelumi Adejumo
Oluwapelumi Adejumo is a journalist at BeInCrypto, where he reports on a broad range of topics including Bitcoin, crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs), market trends, regulatory shifts, technological advancements in digital assets, decentralized finance (DeFi), blockchain scalability, and the tokenomics of emerging altcoins. With over three years of experience in the industry, his works have been featured in major crypto media outlets such as CryptoSlate, Coinspeaker, FXEmpire, and Bitcoin...
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