At BeInCrypto, we offer regular price analyses and predictions of the most popular and relevant cryptoassets. In our May 1 analysis of Bitcoin (BTC), we predicted price decreases. Our prediction was invalidated on May 3 when the price increased above the resistance area we have outlined below. To learn more, read our latest BTC/USD($) and BTC/EUR(€) analysis below:
On Apr 26, the price of BTC reached lows of $5055 and €4539. A gradual increase ensued, which intensified on May 3.
Will Bitcoin continue rising and make new highs or is a reversal in store?
Let’s find out:
Bitcoin (BTC): Trends and Highlights For May 3, 2019
- Both BTC/USD and BTC/EUR reached a low on Apr 26.
- Bitcoin is following an ascending support line.
- It broke out from a long-term ascending channel.
- The breakout occurred on slightly above average volume.
- Bearish divergence is developing in the RSI and the MACD.
- There is resistance near $6400 and €5650.
A Look at the Current Trading Pattern
The price of BTC/USD is analyzed at one-hour intervals from Apr 23 to May 3 to determine Bitcoin’s current trading pattern. We do not include euros in this section because only one trading pair is needed to generate the current trading pattern. Both BTC/USD and BTC/EUR are discussed in the final two sections.
On Apr 26, the price made a low of $5055. A gradual increase followed. The price has made several higher lows during this period.
Tracing these lows gives us an ascending support line:
The price is not following any visible resistance line. In order to predict future price movement, a look at technical indicators and previous movement is required.
Previous movement
To better assess future price fluctuations, we analyze the price of Bitcoin at six-hour intervals from Apr 1 to May 3 alongside volume.Volume is a tool used by traders that measures how much of an asset is bought or sold during a period of time.
It is shown in the graph below:
The price had been trading inside an ascending channel since Apr 3. It has touched both the resistance and support lines multiple times.
On May 3, the price broke out above the resistance line of the channel. The breakout occurred on slightly above average volume. This may indicate that the breakout is not strong and the price may soon reverse.
In order to confirm this assumption, we need to take a look at other technical indicators inside a longer time-frame.
Technical Indicators
The price of Bitcoin is analyzed at one-day intervals from Oct 2018 to May 2019 alongside the RSI and the MACD.The relative strength index (RSI) is an indicator which calculates the size of the changes in price in order to determine oversold or overbought conditions in the market.
The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) is a trend indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages (long and short-term) and the price. It is used to measure the strength of a move.
Combining RSI bullish/bearish divergence with support/resistance essentially predicts price fluctuations. They are shown alongside Bitcoin’s current trading pattern below:
On Apr 3, the price made a high of $5335. After several increases and decreases throughout the month, it made another high of $6145 on May 3.
Similarly, the RSI and the MACD made the first high on Apr 3. However, they have proceeded to generate lower values. This is known as bearish divergence and often precedes price decreases.
Using these indicators and previous movement, it is likely that the price is approaching the end of its downtrend.
Resistance Areas
To better determine reversal levels and support areas inside the confines of the channel, we incorporate resistance areas into this section of the analysis.Resistance areas are formed when the price reaches a certain level several times. They can act as a ceiling/floor that prevents the price from moving further in that direction.
One resistance area is traced for BTC/USD and BTC/EUR below:
The closest resistance area is near $6400 and €5650. We believe that it is unlikely that the price will move above this area.
Conclusion and Summary
According to our analysis, the price of Bitcoin is nearing the end of its uptrend. Short-term increases may occur, but a reversal is already overdue. We believe the price may reach levels as high as $6400 and €5650 before it begins a reversal. Despite short-term losses, however, we believe we believe Bitcoin is likely to make long-term gains. To learn more, read out 2019, 2020, and 5-year price predictions by clicking on the blue button below: Long-Term BTC Analysis Do you think BTC will keep trading inside the channel? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below! Disclaimer: This article is not trading advice and should not be construed as such. Always consult a trained financial professional before investing in cryptocurrencies, as the market is particularly volatile.Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst.
(I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst.
(I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)
READ FULL BIO
Sponsored
Sponsored