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Avalanche (AVAX) Investors Hint at Upcoming 20% Price Rally – Here’s Why

2 mins
Updated by Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • The Avalanche (AVAX) price is bouncing back from $33 to the $40 mark.
  • Conviction among investors is high and increasing with time, as noted in the shift of supply to long-term holders.
  • Market cues like MACD are signaling a reversal is on the cards as the indicator marked a bullish crossover.
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Avalanche (AVAX) price, after weeks of testing the lower trend line of the rising channel, fell through it this month.

However, investors appear focused on flipping that resistance back into support as they aim for gains over losses.

Green Flag for Avalanche

Avalanche’s price notes the potential for growth owing to the rise in conviction observed among AVAX holders. This is evident in the supply shift from small and mid-term holders to long-term holders, known to sit on their supply for at least a year.

Over the past three weeks, AVAX holders have accumulated over 4% of the circulating supply for over a year, resulting in an increase of 4.2 million AVAX valued at $161 million in their wallets, raising the total to 20.72 million AVAX.

Avalanche Supply Distribution.
Avalanche Supply Distribution. Source: IntoTheBlock

This shows that despite the price decline, AVAX holders have not given in to the bearishness and are still hoping for recovery.

Read More: What Is Avalanche (AVAX)?

The market also aligns with the investors’ sentiment as bullish cues are being flashed across price indicators like the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). This is a technical indicator used to identify changes in momentum and potential trend reversals in a security or asset.

Avalanche MACD.
Avalanche MACD. Source: TradingView

When writing, MACD notes the formation of a bullish crossover with a green bar on the histogram. This is the first such instance in a month, marking the initiation of a potential rally.

AVAX Price Prediction: Rising Back up?

Avalanche’s price trading at $38 is close to crossing the $40 mark, and based on the observed bullishness, it could rise further. AVAX is facing a barrier at $44, and breaching it could enable a rise to $48 – $50, which marks the lower trend line of the rising channel the altcoin was in.

AVAX/USDT 1-day chart.
AVAX/USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

This rise would mark a 20.31% increase in Avalanche’s price, provided AVAX continues to receive its investors’ support.

Read More: Avalanche (AVAX) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

However, if the breach of $44 resistance fails, the altcoin could fall back to $33. Losing this support would invalidate the bullish outcome, resulting in a potential dip to $29 or $27.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Aaryamann Shrivastava
Aaryamann Shrivastava is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including Telegram Apps, liquid staking, Layer 1s, meme coins, artificial intelligence (AI), metaverse, internet of things (IoT), Ethereum ecosystem, and Bitcoin. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at FXStreet and AMBCrypto, covering all aspects of the crypto industry, including...
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