Analyzing Bitcoin’s Weekly Close and Future Trend

However, the price dropped sharply afterward, creating a long upper-wick and possibly a reversal candlestick.

Bitcoin Weekly Close

The Bitcoin price has been following a descending resistance line since the all-time high price reached in December 2017. At the time of writing, the resistance line coincides with the $10,400 resistance area. Last week, the price reached this area, only to get swiftly rejected and create a long upper-wick with a small body, amounting to a shooting star candlestick. Even though the close was bullish, this can still be read as a possible reversal candlestick, since it’s occurring after an upward move and inside a confluence of resistance levels.

The daily chart also provides a bearish outlook. Once the price reached the $10,400 resistance area on June 1, it decreased rapidly the next day, creating a bearish engulfing candlestick with high volume. In addition, the daily RSI has generated considerable bearish divergence, another sign that the price is likely to decrease and possibly break down from the long-term ascending support line in place since March 13. The support line will coincide with the $10,400 resistance area by June 20 at the latest, so a decisive move is likely to occur by then. BeInCrypto discussed the possibility of a similar decrease along the lines of a bearish Wyckoff distribution in our previous article.

Short-Term Movement

Despite the long-term bearishness discussed in the section above, the short-term chart looks bullish. The price has broken out from a descending resistance line and is trading above both the 50 and 200-hour moving averages (MA), which are very close to making a bullish cross. In addition, the price is possibly trading inside a parallel ascending channel. Therefore, it is likely to increase to around $9,970, the 0.765 Fibonacci level of the previous decrease and the resistance line of this channel.

To conclude, the short-term outlook for BTC is bullish, suggesting that an upward move to $9m970 is possible. However, the long-term outlook is bearish, indicating that a breakdown from the long-term ascending support line is likely to occur. For our previous analysis, click here.