After more than two months of weakness, Bitcoin is reasserting its dominance. The Bitcoin Dominance Index surpasses the 60% mark, the highest level since mid-2021.
Meanwhile, most altcoins have plunged, with fewer than 5% of the top 55 tokens outperforming BTC. As institutional inflows continue to favor Bitcoin, a clear “risk-off” sentiment is spreading across the market, firmly placing crypto in a new “Bitcoin Season.”
SponsoredBitcoin Consolidates Power as Altcoins Lose Ground
According to data from Alphractal, only 3 out of 55 major altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin (BTC) over the past 60 days, while the rest have lost between 20% and 80% of their value. The broader altcoin market remains deeply in the red, as reflected in the Altcoin Season Index, which currently hovers around 25-29, indicating that the market is in a Bitcoin Season.
On the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) chart, the index reached 60.74%, up from 59% at the end of September, marking the highest level over two years. This signals that capital rotates out of riskier assets and back into Bitcoin. Analysts, such as Benjamin, forecast that altcoins could drop another 30% against Bitcoin in the coming weeks if Bitcoin’s uptrend continues.
Selling pressure across the altcoin market has intensified after several analysts noted that the structure established following the October crash is now breaking down. If this selling momentum persists, altcoins could enter a deeper downside phase.
SponsoredStill, some traders remain optimistic about the broader market structure over the next three to six months. Bitcoin continues to hold above its 50-week EMA, with liquidity rising and expectations growing for a potential Fed rate cut in December. According to one trader, altcoins will eventually follow as long as BTC maintains its trend.
“Ignore fear, follow structure,” the user emphasized.
At this stage, we may witness a familiar liquidity rotation, capital flowing out of altcoins to reinforce Bitcoin’s dominance. As long as BTC remains strong on the weekly timeframe and institutional capital continues to enter the market, altcoins are unlikely to break out independently. This environment favors a defensive strategy, prioritizing BTC and stablecoins over speculative assets.
Recovery Signs May Emerge, but Not for All
Despite the short-term bearish outlook for altcoin performance vs Bitcoin, several analysts highlight the possibility of a technical bounce soon. According to another X user, the “Others vs BTC” chart just closed its monthly candle with a long wick to the downside, a pattern that has historically preceded short-term rebounds as markets “fill gap” in subsequent sessions.
While Bitcoin holds the upper hand, any pause or pullback in BTC’s momentum could allow altcoins to stage a selective recovery. This would enable speculative capital to flow back into smaller-cap tokens.
In summary, while a short-term recovery is possible, only a few market segments are likely to benefit, particularly projects with strong fundamentals and tangible applications, such as RWA, DeFi, or AI-linked tokens. The market is becoming increasingly selective, leaving little room for narrative-driven altcoins with weak fundamentals. Therefore, late 2025 may not bring a broad-based “altseason,” but rather a selective mini-altseason defined by quality over hype.
