Cardano (ADA) Faces Downward Pressure: Lack of Conviction to Blame?

  • Cardano’s price failed a breakout earlier this week and is now set to fall to $0.40.
  • Lack of conviction is visible among ADA investors, with Whales selling nearly $1 billion in ADA in the past two weeks.
  • Long-term holders are also moving their holdings around, fueling a potential decline.
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Cardano’s (ADA) price at the time of writing falls back after failing to breach a resistance trend line.

Combined with the bearish cues from the investors, it appears that ADA might be looking at a further decline.

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Cardano Investors Back Up

Cardano’s price has slightly dropped in the last few days but is holding above a key support line. However, this did not sit well with the investors, who continued to act bearish.

ADA Whales, in particular, have continued the onslaught of selling their holdings to offset any potential losses. The addresses holding ADA worth between $10,000 to $100,000 and $100,000 to $1 million have sold over nearly $1 billion worth of their supply in the last two weeks. 

Cardano Whale Holding.
Cardano Whale Holding. Source: IntoTheBlock

Their overall holdings are now down from $6.1 billion to $5.1 billion as of date.

Read More: How To Buy Cardano (ADA) and Everything You Need To Know

However, they are not the only crucial cohort that has opted to move their holdings around. Long-term holders, known to be the backbone of a bull run, are also skeptical at the moment.

The Age Consumed metric, which measures the total age of coins spent in a transaction, noted a spike recently. This spike indicates the movement of the supply held by addresses holding an asset for more than a year.

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It shows that even long-term holders are skeptical of further profits or rallies and often opt to offset their losses.

Cardano Age Consumed.
Cardano Age Consumed. Source: Santiment

Thus, there is a fair chance that these long-term investors might anticipate further decline.

ADA Price Prediction: A Failed Breakout?

Cardano’s price has been stuck in the descending channel for the past month and a half and failed to break out this past week. Consequently, the altcoin declined to test the support at $0.47.

Based on the aforementioned factors, the altcoin could fall to $0.40, which marks ADA’s next crucial support level. This would mark a 14% drawdown.

ADA/USDT 1-day chart.
ADA/USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

Read More: Cardano (ADA) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

On the other hand, if Cardano’s price manages to bounce off the $0.46 support, it could reclaim $0.50 as support. This price has been a crucial psychological support floor, and breaching it would invalidate the bearish thesis, opening ADA up to further rally.


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Disclaimer

This Analysis reflects BeInCrypto's editorial interpretation of information and data available at publication and may become outdated. It is general and non-personalised, does not consider your circumstances, and is not investment research, financial, investment, legal or tax advice, an offer or a recommendation. Forecasts, targets, technical analysis and forward-looking statements are uncertain and may not materialise; past performance and indicators do not predict future results. References to assets, products or providers do not imply endorsement. Crypto-assets and financial products may result in total loss. Verify material information before acting.

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