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Cardano (ADA) Price Hits Roadblock at Resistance: Where to From Here?

2 mins
Updated by Ryan James
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In Brief

  • Cardano (ADA) price has fallen sharply over the past two weeks.
  • The price action and RSI readings suggest the decrease will continue.
  • Reclaiming the previous channel's support line will invalidate the bearish forecast.
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The Cardano (ADA) price shows bearish signs in numerous timeframes. These could lead to the acceleration of the ongoing downward movement.

Besides failing to break out from a long-term resistance, the ADA price broke down from a short-term pattern. This solidifies the bearish price trend.

Cardano Price Bounces but Fails to Reclaim Resistance

ADA is the native token of the Cardano blockchain, created by Charles Hoskinson. The ADA token price steeply declined over the last two weeks, as evidenced by the long-term weekly time frame readings.

This created a bearish engulfing candlestick, which is a type of bearish candlestick that erases the entire previous period’s increase. The confirmation of this bearish pattern comes with a close below the opening of the previous period.

Furthermore, this candlestick caused the ADA price to drop below the significant horizontal area of $0.425. This is a critical development because it shows that the previous breakout was not valid.

As a result, instead of acting as support, the $0.425 area will now serve as resistance again. This was especially evident last week. Despite the bounce, the ADA price failed to reclaim the $0.425 area, rather it validated it as resistance (red icon).

So, despite previously breaking out from a descending resistance line that was in place since the all-time high, the recent price action indicates a bearish trend. If this decline continues, the next nearest support area will be at an average price of $0.315.

Cardano (ADA) Weekly Price
ADA/USDT Weekly Chart. Source: TradingView

The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) does not provide any hints as to the trend’s direction. The RSI is a momentum indicator used by traders to evaluate whether a market is overbought or oversold, and to determine whether to accumulate or sell an asset.

Readings above 50 and an upward trend suggest that bulls still have an advantage, while readings below 50 indicate the opposite. The current reading of 50 is a sign of a neutral trend.

ADA Price Prediction: How Long Will the Drop Continue?

The daily time frame technical analysis from the daily time frame also gives a bearish Cardano price prediction. The reasons for this can be attributed to both price action and indicator readings.

Firstly, on April 20, the ADA token price broke down from an ascending parallel channel that it had been trading in since March 10. This type of channel is characterized by the price moving between two parallel resistance and support lines and is generally considered a bearish pattern.

After breaking down, ADA validated it as resistance on April 27 (red icon) before resuming its descent.

Secondly, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) also contributed to this trend as it broke down from an ascending support line (represented by the green line) and is currently below 50.

Traders commonly use the RSI as a momentum indicator to identify overbought or oversold conditions and decide whether to sell or accumulate an asset.

Cardano (ADA) Price Prediction
ADA/USDT Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

In order for this bearish Cardano price forecast to be invalidated, the ADA price will have to reclaim the channel’s support line.

In that case, an upward movement to $0.48 could follow.

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In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions.

Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for...