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Why Shiba Inu’s 11% Weekly Loss Could Be the Setup for a Bullish Breakout

2 mins
Updated by Ann Maria Shibu
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In Brief

  • SHIB drops 11% this week, but bullish divergences in sentiment and CMF signal a potential trend reversal.
  • Rising weighted sentiment and positive CMF readings suggest increasing investor confidence despite price declines.
  • A breakout could push SHIB toward $0.00001295, while continued sell-offs may drag it down to $0.00001167.
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The slowdown across the meme coin market has dragged Shiba Inu (SHIB) down 11% in the past week. At press time, the leading meme coin trades at $0.00001234.

However, despite the price decline, two key on-chain indicators are flashing bullish divergences, raising the possibility of a near-term turnaround.

Traders Grow Optimistic on SHIB Despite Price Drop

Despite its recent lackluster performance, SHIB has seen its weighted sentiment shift upward, showing that traders are growing increasingly optimistic about the meme coin. According to Santiment, this metric stands at a seven-day high of 1.153 at press time.

For token TA and market updates: Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

SHIB Weighted Sentiment.
SHIB Weighted Sentiment. Source: Santiment

An asset’s weighted sentiment measures its overall positive or negative bias by combining the volume of social media mentions with the tone of those discussions.

When an asset’s weighted sentiment is positive, it signals rising confidence and renewed interest in the asset, even if prices are under pressure.

On the other hand, a negative weighted sentiment reflects bearish conditions. This means investors have become skeptical of the token’s short-term prospects, which may cause them to trade less. 

SHIB’s falling price, alongside a rising weighted sentiment, creates bullish divergence, showing market confidence is climbing despite downward price action. This divergence is usually interpreted as a precursor to a potential reversal, suggesting that traders may be quietly positioning themselves for a rebound.

Furthermore, the setup of the altcoin’s Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) supports this bullish outlook. Readings from the meme coin’s daily chart show the CMF climbing steadily, even as SHIB’s price declined, forming another bullish divergence.

At press time, the CMF stands at 0.04, signaling that money is beginning to flow back into the asset.

SHIB CMF.
SHIB CMF. Source: TradingView

The CMF measures buying and selling pressure based on price and trading volume. A positive CMF reading, such as the one SHIB currently holds, suggests that more capital is entering the market than leaving it. 

When this occurs alongside a price drop, traders are quietly accumulating the token at lower levels, a sign of underlying strength.

Can Shiba Inu Turn Losses Into a Breakout?

When bullish divergences like these form, they often point to a potential trend reversal. For SHIB, these mean its buyers are gaining enough momentum to challenge the sell-side pressure and trigger a rebound toward $0.00001295.

SHIB CMF.
SHIB Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the other hand, if sellofs continue, SHIB risks falling to $0.00001167.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a Technical and On-Chain Analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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