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Binance Bitcoin Deposits Surge, Signaling Potential Sell-Off Ahead

2 mins
Updated by Oihyun Kim
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In Brief

  • Binance sees sharp Bitcoin deposit increase, raising concerns about short-term selling pressure and market volatility.
  • Analyst cites imminent sell-off, margin trading collateral, or portfolio rebalancing as possible reserve surge drivers.
  • Positive netflow and falling withdrawals suggest reserves are growing, heightening risk of price declines.
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Bitcoin deposits on Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, have surged to their highest levels in recent months.

This triggers an analysis that suggests a potential rise in selling pressure for the leading digital asset.

Possible Reasons: Funds Poised for Sell-Off

CryptoOnchain, a CryptoQuant analyst, reported Friday that rising Bitcoin exchange balances point to three possible scenarios.

The analyst outlined three possibilities for the swelling reserves: imminent sell-off, margin trading collateral, or institutional portfolio rebalancing. Of these, the analyst noted that the “funds pending sale” scenario appears most aligned with the current market conditions.

CryptoOnchain highlighted the historical precedent for such movements. “Historically, notable inflow spikes — when not matched by strong buying demand — have frequently preceded periods of short-term selling pressure,” the analyst wrote.

BTC Inflows Are Surging While Outflows Are Declining

The concern is compounded by data showing that withdrawals are not counteracting the increase in deposits.

“The recent rise in positive netflow (inflows exceeding outflows) further reinforces this signal, confirming that the total BTC balance on Binance is increasing rather than offset by withdrawals,” CryptoOnchain added. This indicates that the amount of Bitcoin leaving the exchange has also decreased, amplifying the net increase in its reserves.

This supply and demand imbalance could lead to increased market turbulence. “Without equivalent demand, this setup can tilt the market toward short-term downside volatility,” CryptoOnchain stated, “especially if large holders are positioning for sales or hedging exposure through derivatives.”

Bitcoin’s price fell about 4% Thursday night, sliding from $121,000 to $117,000 after July’s US PPI release. This decline was twice as steep as that of Ethereum (ETH) during the same period.

It is unusual for the world’s largest cryptocurrency to exhibit more than double the volatility of the second-largest cryptocurrency, even in response to bearish news that negatively impacts market liquidity.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Paul is a Senior Researcher at Bincrypto's Korea team. He has worked as a journalist for approximately 14 years at domestic media outlets, including CoinDesk Korea. Paul majored in Chemistry and Journalism in college and is deeply interested in crypto, AI, and society.
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