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Solana Needs a 40% Rally to Overcome Critical Barrier; Key Holders Support

2 mins
Updated by Harsh Notariya
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In Brief

  • Solana long-term holders accumulated 1 million SOL ($128 million), signaling confidence and reinforcing price support.
  • RSI is trending upward, but SOL must breach the 50.0 neutral level to confirm growing buying pressure and bullish momentum.
  • SOL needs a 40% rally to break the $180 resistance; failure to hold $126 support could lead to a drop toward $109.
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Solana (SOL) has faced a recent decline, struggling to regain momentum despite multiple attempts at recovery. The altcoin is currently aiming to breach the $180 resistance level, which has remained a key hurdle. 

While long-term holders (LTHs) are supporting the price, SOL still needs stronger momentum to break past this critical level.  

Solana Investors Are Hopeful

The HODLer Net Position Change metric indicates that Solana holders are rebuying the SOL they previously sold. Over the past week alone, long-term holders have accumulated more than 1 million SOL, worth approximately $128 million. This buying activity signals confidence among investors who anticipate a recovery in Solana’s price.  

Historically, increased accumulation by long-term holders has been a bullish sign. As these investors continue buying at lower price levels, it reinforces support and reduces the chances of sharp declines. If this trend continues, it could create the necessary foundation for Solana to attempt another breakout.  

Solana HODLer Net Position Change
Solana HODLer Net Position Change. Source: Glassnode

From a technical perspective, Solana is showing signs of improving momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been trending upward, indicating a potential shift toward bullish sentiment. However, for confirmation, the RSI needs to breach the neutral 50.0 level and turn it into support.  

A rising RSI suggests growing buying pressure, which could help SOL regain lost ground. This would increase the likelihood of Solana making another attempt at breaking its key resistance levels.  

Solana RSI
Solana RSI. Source: TradingView.

SOL Price Recovery Remains Uncertain

Solana is currently trading at $128, and the crypto token’s price is down by 5.5% in the last 24 hours. Despite the decline, SOL is holding above the $126 support level while attempting to breach the $135 resistance. The long-term target remains at $180, a crucial milestone for bullish confirmation.  

Breaking past $180 has been a challenge, with Solana failing to attempt it in recent weeks. To reach this level, SOL would need to rally 40%, which becomes more achievable if it first breaches $161. Sustained buying pressure and improving market sentiment could help facilitate this move.  

SOL Price Analysis.
SOL Price Analysis. Source: TradingView.

On the downside, if Solana fails to breach $148 or struggles to move past $135, it could lose its current support levels. A drop below $126 and $118 would expose SOL to further declines, potentially testing $109. This scenario would invalidate the bullish outlook and shift momentum back to the bears.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Aaryamann Shrivastava
Aaryamann Shrivastava is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including Telegram Apps, liquid staking, Layer 1s, meme coins, artificial intelligence (AI), metaverse, internet of things (IoT), Ethereum ecosystem, and Bitcoin. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at FXStreet and AMBCrypto, covering all aspects of the crypto industry, including...
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