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Litecoin Price Analysis: Will LTC/USD Begin a Downward Move?

3 mins
Updated by Valdrin Tahiri
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On May 30, the Litecoin price (LTC) reached a low of $102. A gradual increase ensued. The price reached highs near $116 on July 1 and 2.
Litecoin Outlook
Afterward, the price began to decrease. In this analysis, we examine Litecoin price (LTC) trends and indicators to determine whether the price will likely continue falling or rebound.

Litecoin price (LTC): Trends and Highlights for June 3, 2019

  • LTC has been on an uptrend since May 30.
  • It is trading in a horizontal channel.
  • A bearish divergence has developed in long-term timeframes in the RSI.
  • It is potentially beginning a three wave decrease formation.
  • There is support near $102.

Horizontal Channel

The price of LTC/USD on Bitfinex was analyzed at one-hour intervals from May 30 to June 3 to determine the current trading pattern.
On June 1, the Litecoin price (LTC) reached a high of $116.1. A gradual decrease ensued and the price reached a low of $110.7 the same day. Since then, the price has been trading inside the horizontal channel outlined below:
Horizontal Channel
On June 3, the price broke down from the channel, only to immediately rebound and find support above it. Will the price begin to increase or is a breakdown inevitable?

What About a Breakdown?

To better determine the likelihood of a breakdown, the Litecoin price (LTC) at three-day intervals alongside the RSI. One resistance area is also traced below:

Bearish DivergenceThe price is currently at a major support area created by the lows of March 2018. At that time, the breakdown below these levels triggered a rapid downward move which culminated with a low of $22.5 on Dec. 6, 2018.

Furthermore, there is bearish divergence developing in the RSI. In this timeframe, this has not occurred since August 2017.

The use of this indicator makes it unlikely that the Litecoin price (LTC) will break out above this area. Even if it does so, we believe it will not occur during this first attempt. Rather, price decreases are likely to occur even if only in the short-term.

One possible pattern of how they will materialize is outlined below using Elliott Wave theory:

ElliottAs is visible in the graph, the corrective wave four did not breach the highs reached by wave one and ended at the 0.5 fib line of the entire move. Furthermore, the third wave was the longest. Both of these are characteristics of Elliott Wave formations.

However, the pattern of decrease is a very broad hypothesis of how the Litecoin price (LTC) will decrease. It is still too early to predict the exact price movements of this possible move.

Nevertheless, we believe a short-term decrease is inevitable.

If it does occur, what is the closest level that will provide short-term support?

Finding Long-Term Support

A support area is traced for LTC/USD below. If the price breaks down from the short-term channel, it is likely to provide reversal.
Support
The closest support area is found near $103. We believe that the Litecoin price (LTC) will break down from the channel and eventually reach this area.

Summary

Based on this analysis, it is likely that the price will eventually break down from the horizontal channel. Do you think the price of LTC will reach the support area?  Let us know in the comments below. If you’re interested in 2019 and 2020 price predictions for Litecoin in dollars, click on the blue button below

  Disclaimer: This article is not trading advice and should not be construed as such. Always consult a trained financial professional before investing in cryptocurrencies, as the market is particularly volatile.
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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst. (I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)
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