Dogecoin (DOGE) vs. Basic Attention Token (BAT): Price Outlook
DOGE reached a high of 110 satoshis on Sep 10, 2018. A gradual decrease followed. A low of 45 satoshis was reached on Nov 14. An attempted recovery brought DOGE to a high of 83 satoshis on Dec 17. Over the next several months, the price dropped again. Lows below 50 satoshis were reached in March and April 2019. At the beginning of May, the price of DOGE dropped below 45 satoshis. This movement caused Dogecoin to breakdown from the horizontal support line traced below:
There is a support area near 35 satoshis created from the lows of Aug 2018. DOGE dipped into the support area with on May 13 and 14, 2019.
It appears that DOGE has now initiated an upward move. On May 15, the price pushed past 40 satoshis.
On the other hand, BAT/BTC has been following an apparent ascending support line. At the current time, it is trading well above this line. It is possible that the price will drop and validate the support line, which is currently around 3600 satoshis:
Since the support line formed, the price of BAT has increased by 107%.
Neither BAT nor DOGE appear to have generated a visible resistance line. Thus, no apparent trading pattern can be traced for either.
To better determine future price movements, we examine shorter-term trading patterns for BAT and DOGE alongside technical indicators.
DOGE Trading Inside a Descending Wedge
On Apr 8, the price of DOGE made a low of 52 satoshis. Over the next few days, the price gradually rose. A high of 58 satoshis was reached on Apr 18. Since then, the price has been decreasing inside the descending wedge outlined below:
On Apr 25 the price reached a low of 45 satoshis. A decrease ensued and a lower low of 34 satoshis was reached on May 13.
Similarly, the RSI made a low on Apr 25. However, it has continued to generate higher values since.
This is known as bullish divergence and often precedes price increases.
Last week, we initiated a long trade. Now let’s see how it has fared.
Long Trade Setup
In last week’s analysis of DOGE, we initiated a trade with an entry of 35 satoshis, stop loss of 33 satoshis and a target of 49 satoshis. This is shown in the graph below:
Since then, the price has increased, reaching levels of 41 satoshis. We still believe that the price will reach 49 satoshis.
The price movements since we initiated our trade are shown below:
We will assess this trade in our next analysis.
Now, let’s move on to BAT.
BAT Is Also Inside a Descending Wedge
On Apr 16, the price of BAT broke out from a resistance line. That resistance line then became a support line. A peak of 9400 satoshis was reached on Apr 20. Since then, BAT has been following a steep resistance line. It dropped from the resistance line and validated the former resistance line as support a on May 8 when the price reached 4500 satoshis. The support and resistance lines combine to create a descending wedge which is outlined in the graph below:
Following May 8’s low, a rapid spike brought BAT to validate the resistance line several times. A gradual decrease has been occurring since.
To better assess whether the price will continue to decrease, we will now analyze the price at four-hour intervals alongside the RSI (MA) below:
On May 9, the price reached a low of 4438 satoshis. It continued to decrease and on May 13 reached another low of 4317 satoshis.
Similarly, the RSI and the MACD made the first low on May 9. However, they have continued to generate higher values since.
This is known as bullish divergence and often precedes price increases. Furthermore, the descending wedge is a bullish pattern, making a breakout likely.
Therefore, we will assess the viability of our short trade which we initiated
Short Trade Setup
Last week, we stated:“A possible trade setup is analyzed with an average entry of 5750 satoshis. The stop-loss is placed well above the resistance line and slightly above the May 6 highs at 6150 satoshis. Our target is set at the support line of the wedge at 3700 satoshis.”This is shown in the graph below:
The price has not yet reached our target of 3700 satoshis. Rather, it has made a bottom around 4300 satoshis.
The presence of bullish divergence inside a bullish pattern makes us believe that the price will eventually break out from the wedge. Therefore, we have decided to close this trade. Since the price is currently around 4400 satoshis, this is a profit of around 10%.Conclusion
To conclude, both DOGE and BAT are currently trading inside descending wedges. Furthermore, both have developed significant bullish divergence. In the case of DOGE, this divergence is present only in the RSI, while it is present in both the RSI and the MACD in the case of BAT.
For DOGE, last week we initiated a long trade setup with a very lucrative 7 to 1 risk to reward ratio. The trade is still in effect.
On the other hand, we had a short trade setup in place for BAT. However, due to recent market developments, we decided to close our trade before the target was reached. The trade was closed with a profit around 10%.
To conclude, we believe that both DOGE and BAT will increase in the near future and we believe that they both have similar potential for growth.
A summary is presented in the table below:
|
DOGE |
BAT |
WINNER |
|
|
Outlook |
Bounced in a major support area |
Following an ascending support line |
Tie |
|
Patterns & Indicators |
Bullish divergence developing inside a descending wedge |
Bullish divergence developing inside a descending wedge. |
Tie |
| Trade Setup | Long trade with a 7:1 risk to reward ratio | Short trade closed at 10% profit. | DOGE |
Do you think DOGE and BAT are good investments in the long-term? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below!
Disclaimer: This article is not trading advice and should not be construed as such. Always consult a trained financial professional before investing in cryptocurrencies, as the market is particularly volatile.
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