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XRP Long Traders Seek $0.66 Target Despite Bearish Market Signals

2 mins
Updated by Daria Krasnova
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In Brief

  • XRP derivatives traders remain bullish, with long positions dominating despite the US SEC's appeal and market downturn.
  • Positive funding rates reflect optimism, while spot traders show caution, with selling pressure increasing amid uncertainty.
  • XRP risks a 13% decline if it stays below key moving averages but could rally 25% if spot market sentiment improves.
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XRP’s value has dropped by 17% over the past week, fueled by the broader market downturn and further impacted by the US SEC’s decision to file an appeal against Ripple.

Although buying pressure has weakened significantly over the past few days, traders in the XRP derivatives market remain optimistic.  This analysis explores whether or not the bets of these traders will produce favorable results in the near term. 

Ripple Long Traders Double Down

Despite the broader market downturn and the ongoing legal battle between the US SEC and Ripple, XRP derivatives traders maintain a bullish outlook. Long positions continue to dominate, reflecting investor optimism about XRP’s price potential.

This sentiment is supported by the token’s funding rate, which has consistently stayed positive. As of now, the funding rate is at 0.004%, indicating sustained confidence in XRP’s future growth.

Read more: XRP ETF Explained: What It Is and How It Works

xrp funding rate
XRP Funding Rate. Source: Santiment

A positive funding rate suggests a higher demand for long positions than short ones in the market. It occurs when traders are optimistic about an asset’s future price increases and, as a result, are willing to pay a premium to maintain their long positions.

However, XRP spot traders do not share this stance. They continue to sell their holdings amid fear of a significant price decline once the hearing of the US SEC appeal commences. The token’s negative Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) confirms the strengthening selling pressure.

xrp cmf
XRP CMF. Source: TradingView

As of this writing, XRP’s CMF is below the zero line at -0.03. This indicator measures money flows into and out of an asset. When its value is below zero, selling pressure is high as traders remove liquidity from the market to prevent further investment losses. 

XRP Price Prediction: Token Trades Below Key Moving Averages

XRP is currently trading below its 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) and its 50-day simple moving average (SMA). The 20-day EMA is a short-term indicator that quickly responds to price changes by averaging an asset’s closing price over the past 20 days. In contrast, the 50-day SMA provides a longer-term perspective by tracking the average closing price over 50 days.

These moving averages are key indicators for traders, often marking support and resistance levels. When an asset’s price drops below the 20-day EMA, it suggests a potential shift in momentum, possibly leading to further declines. A drop below the 50-day SMA typically confirms a bearish trend.

Read more: Ripple (XRP) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

xrp price prediction
XRP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

XRP is facing a potential 13% decline, which could see it drop to $0.46 if it continues to distance itself from these crucial averages. However, if sentiment in the spot market turns positive and demand rises, XRP’s price could rally by 25%, pushing it to $0.66.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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