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XRP Must Hold This Line or Face a 27% Price Slide

2 mins
Updated by Daria Krasnova
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In Brief

  • XRP risks a 27% drop if it breaks below critical support at $0.52, with bearish sentiment and falling demand driving pressure.
  • Negative DAA divergence and weighted sentiment suggest waning interest in XRP, signaling a potential price decline.
  • Bulls must defend $0.52 support, or XRP could fall to $0.45 or even $0.38; a rebound could push it past $0.55.
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Ripple’s XRP is at a crucial juncture, trading at $0.53, just above a key support level at $0.52. If the price falls below this threshold, it could result in a sharp decline of up to 27%.

With buying pressure weakening and bearish sentiment increasing, bulls may struggle to maintain this support.

Ripple Holders Sidestep the Token

On October 2, XRP dropped below its 20-day exponential moving average (EMA), which reflects its average closing price over the last 20 days. Since then, the altcoin’s price has trended within a range, facing resistance at $0.55 and finding support at $0.52. However, the falling demand for XRP hints at a possible dip below this support line in the near term.

Read more: XRP ETF Explained: What It Is and How It Works

XRP 20-Day EMA and Horizontal Channel.
XRP 20-Day EMA and Horizontal Channel. Source: TradingView

The token’s negative price daily active address (DAA) divergence confirms this bearish outlook. As of this writing, this metric stands at -68.92, its lowest level since November 2023. 

The DAA divergence metric measures an asset’s price movements with the changes in its number of daily active addresses. When it is negative, as in XRP’s case, it suggests that there is a loss of interest or confidence in the asset. 

xrp price daily active address divergence
XRP Price Daily Active Address Divergence. Source: Santiment

Moreover, XRP’s weighted sentiment reflects the negative market bias toward the altcoin. This metric, which gauges the overall market mood, currently stands at -0.07.

When the value of an asset’s weighted sentiment is below zero, most social media discussions are fueled by negative emotions like fear, uncertainty, and doubt. This is a known precursor to a sustained price decline, putting XRP at risk of falling below support. 

XRP Weighted Sentiment
XRP Weighted Sentiment Source: Santiment

XRP Price Prediction: All Lies With the Bulls

XRP’s growing bearish bias may make it challenging for the bulls to defend the support at $0.52. If XRP’s price falls below this critical level, Fibonacci retracement readings suggest the next target could be $0.45.

Should strong selling pressure persist, the price might drop further to the July 5 low of $0.38.

Read more: Ripple (XRP) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

XRP Price Analysis
XRP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the other hand, if the $0.52 support holds and XRP rebounds, it could push past the $0.55 resistance level, potentially driving the price toward $0.60.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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